About the models, data & caveats
Availability snapshot: Nov 09, 2026 · 9:05 AM ET. Open "Injuries & availability" on each game for player reports. This is a saved snapshot, not live data; no injury adjustments have been applied to either model.
Alpha · football_adjusted_no_margin_10 — frozen ridge-10 fit, 2022–2024. Exact reproduction of the live model; coefficients loaded from the saved fitted_model.json, not re-estimated.
Beta · Alpha + signed tier_gap (strict P4/G5) — joint refit, ridge-10, same 2022–2024 window. tier_gap = +1 home P4/away G5, −1 home G5/away P4, 0 otherwise.
Both models predict home scoring margin from football data alone, with no market inputs. The market spread enters only afterward, to measure the difference. Opponent-adjusted ratings refit on all completed 2026 FBS-vs-FBS games through Week 10. Only 0 of this week’s games carry a nonzero tier_gap (flagged on the card) — everywhere else Alpha and Beta differ only by ordinary refit noise.
Track record. Alpha went 364–370–18 ATS (49.6%) in the 2025 retrospective test. Average margin error: 12.97 points versus 11.89 for the market. Live 2026 results are on the Model performance page.
Alpha inputs: net PPA, success rate, explosiveness, points per opportunity, havoc, turnover margin, neutral site, rest difference, and two opponent-rating features (offense and defense differences), blended with a four-game prior weight against 2025 team profiles. Beta is a full joint refit of Alpha’s 10 features plus one signed tier_gap feature — not Alpha plus a fixed correction, so even tier_gap=0 games can show small differences.
SAIF policy (from Week 11). Through Week 9 the model’s raw edge carried only about 15% real information about the final margin, and its one positive signal was the line moving toward it early in the week. So the board shows a shrunk edge (0.15 × the Alpha gap to the line), a play needs 1.0+ shrunk points (about 6.7 raw), and each game is decided once, at the first consensus line we see, which is timestamped and locked. A pick on a team already missing its starting QB at entry is skipped; later QB news does not cancel a locked bet. Beta is kept as a shadow: logged and graded, never a play.
“Where the margin comes from” is the same linear math the model already uses — each feature’s standardized value times its fitted coefficient — broken apart per feature. Neither model sees market lines, totals, or moneylines. 2025 has been examined repeatedly, so it is not a pristine holdout.
| Sample | Difference · pts | W–L–P | ATS · excludes pushes (Alpha) |
|---|
| validation | 0–2 | 245–257–8 | 48.8% |
| validation | 2–4 | 174–163–12 | 51.6% |
| validation | 4–6 | 139–128–5 | 52.1% |
| validation | 6–plus | 168–184–8 | 47.7% |
| 2025 | 0–2 | 103–130–4 | 44.2% |
| 2025 | 2–4 | 97–90–4 | 51.9% |
| 2025 | 4–6 | 61–60–4 | 50.4% |
| 2025 | 6–plus | 103–90–6 | 53.4% |
All 67 games with a posted market spread are listed below. Filters need JavaScript.
Tue, Nov 10 · 7:00 PM ET
Western Michigan at Akron
Line Western Michigan −14.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Western Michigan −10.2 · Edge 0.6
Entry Western Michigan −14.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Akron +14.5Model Western Michigan −10.7 · Edge 0.6
Beta Western Michigan −10.8 · Edge 0.6
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense−8.16 → Western Michigan Opp-adjusted offense−4.23 → Western Michigan Explosiveness−3.29 → Western Michigan Net PPA (efficiency)+2.71 → Akron Havoc rate−1.63 → Western Michigan Points per opportunity+1.05 → Akron Rest advantage−0.82 → Western Michigan Success rate−0.67 → Western Michigan
Beta
Opp-adjusted defense−6.45 → Western Michigan Opp-adjusted offense−3.71 → Western Michigan Explosiveness−3.08 → Western Michigan Havoc rate−2.48 → Western Michigan Points per opportunity+1.05 → Akron Turnover margin+1.00 → Akron Net PPA (efficiency)+0.86 → Akron Rest advantage−0.71 → Western Michigan
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Akron (home), left/blue favors Western Michigan (away).
Injuries & availability (20 listed)
Akron · 14 listed
Semaj Beals · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Beals is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Zips.
Logan Hindmarch · DL Out
Undisclosed
Hindmarch is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Zips.
Jaborree Riggins · WR Out
Undisclosed
Riggins is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Zips.
Omari Abor · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Abor is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Zips.
Elijah Alexander · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Alexander is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Zips.
Daymon David · S Questionable
Undisclosed
David is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Zips.
Paul Davis · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Zips.
Chris Gee · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Gee is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Zips.
Gavin James · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
James is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Zips.
Iesa Jarmon · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Jarmon is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Zips.
Cameron Monteiro · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Monteiro is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Zips.
Malakai Ross-Graves · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Ross-Graves is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Zips.
Luke Sivon · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Sivon is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Zips.
Catrell White · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
White is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Zips.
Western Michigan · 6 listed
Trey Petty · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Petty is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Broncos.
August Johanningsmeier · DE Out
Undisclosed
Johanningsmeier is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Broncos.
Noah Bishop · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Bishop is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Broncos.
Lolo Mataele · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Mataele is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Broncos.
Jeremy Schleicher · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Schleicher is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Broncos.
Ryan Westrich · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Westrich is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Broncos.
Tue, Nov 10 · 7:00 PM ET
Kent State at Bowling Green
Line Bowling Green −6.0
SAIF
No playAlpha model Bowling Green −6.8 · Edge 0.1
Entry Bowling Green −6.0, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Bowling Green −6.0Model Bowling Green −9.3 · Edge 0.5
Beta Bowling Green −6.0 · Edge 0.0
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Success rate+3.71 → Bowling Green Opp-adjusted offense+3.35 → Bowling Green Explosiveness−3.01 → Kent State Net PPA (efficiency)−0.79 → Kent State Points per opportunity−0.63 → Kent State Opp-adjusted defense+0.51 → Bowling Green Rest advantage−0.49 → Kent State Turnover margin−0.16 → Kent State
Beta
Success rate+3.60 → Bowling Green Opp-adjusted offense+3.12 → Bowling Green Explosiveness−2.82 → Kent State Points per opportunity−0.67 → Kent State Opp-adjusted defense+0.55 → Bowling Green Turnover margin−0.44 → Kent State Conference tier gap−0.29 → Kent State Net PPA (efficiency)−0.29 → Kent State
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Bowling Green (home), left/blue favors Kent State (away).
Injuries & availability (17 listed)
Bowling Green · 13 listed
Austin Clay · WR Out
Undisclosed
Clay is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Falcons. He will miss the 2026 season.
Rico Garcia · CB Out
Undisclosed
Garcia is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Falcons. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Julian Holt · DB Out
Undisclosed
Holt is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Falcons.
JoJo Johnson · CB Out
Undisclosed
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Falcons. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Ethan Kraatz · OT Out
Undisclosed
Kraatz is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Falcons. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Quentin Lewis · DE Out
Undisclosed
Lewis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Falcons.
Jabari Mitchell · LB Out
Undisclosed
Mitchell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Falcons. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Pete Pendergest · OL Out
Undisclosed
Pendergest is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Falcons. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Trent Taylor · TE Out
Undisclosed
Taylor is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Falcons. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Dayln White · DT Out
Undisclosed
White is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Falcons.
Theo Andall · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Andall is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Falcons.
Selah Brown · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Brown is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Falcons.
Austyn Dendy · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Dendy is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Falcons.
Kent State · 4 listed
Da'Realyst Clark · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Clark is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Flashes.
Mason King · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
King is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Flashes.
Tyler Meadows · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Meadows is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Flashes.
Terik Mulder · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Mulder is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Flashes.
Tue, Nov 10 · 8:00 PM ET
Ohio at Miami (OH)
Line Ohio −1.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Ohio −3.7 · Edge 0.3
Entry Ohio −1.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Miami (OH) +1.5Model Ohio −0.7 · Edge 0.1
Beta Ohio −4.7 · Edge 0.5
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense−3.06 → Ohio Opp-adjusted offense−2.41 → Ohio Net PPA (efficiency)+1.32 → Miami (OH) Explosiveness+0.84 → Miami (OH) Points per opportunity+0.68 → Miami (OH) Rest advantage−0.42 → Ohio
Beta
Opp-adjusted defense−2.33 → Ohio Opp-adjusted offense−2.07 → Ohio Explosiveness+0.85 → Miami (OH) Points per opportunity+0.67 → Miami (OH) Turnover margin−0.53 → Ohio Net PPA (efficiency)+0.41 → Miami (OH)
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Miami (OH) (home), left/blue favors Ohio (away).
Injuries & availability (25 listed)
Miami (OH) · 13 listed
Thomas Gotkowski · QB Out
Undisclosed
Gotkowski is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the RedHawks. He will miss the 2026 season.
David McComb · QB Out
Upper Body
McComb is dealing with an upper-body injury and will not take the field for the RedHawks. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Max Deckard · DB Out
Undisclosed
Deckard is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the RedHawks. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Eric Karner · TE Out
Undisclosed
Karner is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the RedHawks. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Anthony Ludington · DL Out
Undisclosed
Ludington is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the RedHawks. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Keith Reynolds · WR Out
Undisclosed
Reynolds is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the RedHawks. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Shaun Shahu · OL Out
Undisclosed
Shahu is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the RedHawks. He will miss the rest of the 2026 season.
Brady Simmons · WR Out
Undisclosed
Simmons is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the RedHawks. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Adrian Walker Jr. · DB Out
Undisclosed
Walker Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the RedHawks. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Brayden Boeing · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Boeing is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the RedHawks.
Greg Smith Jr. · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Smith Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Redhawks.
Cade Yacamelli · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Yacamelli is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the RedHawks.
Trey Zvonar · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Zvonar is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the RedHawks.
Ohio · 12 listed
Tony Mathis · S Out
Undisclosed
Mathis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bobcats. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Will Odenthal · OL Out
Undisclosed
Odenthal is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bobcats. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Kaden Page · WR Out
Undisclosed
Page is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bobcats. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Rashad Perry · WR Out
Undisclosed
Perry is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bobcats. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Cody Raymond · LB Out
Undisclosed
Raymond is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bobcats. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Eli Thompson · S Out
Undisclosed
Thompson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bobcats. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Andrew Vera · S Out
Undisclosed
Vera is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bobcats. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Marcus Cain · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Cain is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bobcats.
Zach Hackleman · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Hackleman is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bobcats.
Will Hryszko · K Questionable
Undisclosed
Hryszko is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bobcats.
Ryan Miller · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Miller is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bobcats.
Ian Ver Steeg · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Ver Steeg is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bobcats.
Wed, Nov 11 · 7:30 PM ET
Sacramento State at Central Michigan
Line Central Michigan −18.0
SAIF
No playAlpha model Central Michigan −13.3 · Edge 0.7
Entry Central Michigan −18.0, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Sacramento State +18.0Model Central Michigan −10.3 · Edge 1.2
Beta Central Michigan −13.2 · Edge 0.7
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted offense+5.03 → Central Michigan Opp-adjusted defense+4.15 → Central Michigan Explosiveness+4.09 → Central Michigan Success rate−2.67 → Sacramento State Net PPA (efficiency)−1.81 → Sacramento State Havoc rate+1.58 → Central Michigan Points per opportunity−0.79 → Sacramento State Rest advantage−0.42 → Sacramento State
Beta
Opp-adjusted offense+4.64 → Central Michigan Explosiveness+3.94 → Central Michigan Opp-adjusted defense+3.48 → Central Michigan Havoc rate+2.54 → Central Michigan Success rate−2.36 → Sacramento State Points per opportunity−0.82 → Sacramento State Turnover margin−0.80 → Sacramento State Net PPA (efficiency)−0.62 → Sacramento State
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Central Michigan (home), left/blue favors Sacramento State (away).
Injuries & availability (28 listed)
Central Michigan · 8 listed
Angel Flores · QB Out
Ankle
Flores is dealing with an ankle injury and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Langston Lewis · WR Out
Suspension
Lewis has been suspended for a legal matter and will not take the field for the Chippewas.
Tommy McIntosh · WR Out
Knee
McIntosh suffered a torn ACL and will not take the field for the Chippewas. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Joey VanWetzinga · DL Out
Undisclosed
VanWetzinga is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Chippewas. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Hunter Zirkle · DL Out
Chest
Zirkle is battling a right pectoral injury and will not take the field for the Chippewas. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Ed Conoran · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Conoran is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Chippewas.
Korver Demma · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Demma is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Chippewas.
Xavier White · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Whit is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Chippewas.
Sacramento State · 20 listed
Carson Conklin · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Conklin is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hornets.
Austin Aten · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Aten is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hornets.
Matthew Auau · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Auau is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hornets.
Curron Borders · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Borders is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hornets.
Ajon Bryant · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Bryant is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hornets.
Davion Godley · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Godley is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hornets.
Dylan Gooden · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Gooden is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hornets.
Jack Hodge · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Hodge is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hornets.
Derek Houston · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Houston is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hornets.
Kyle Koontz · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Koontz is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hornets.
Davis May · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
May is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hornets.
Richard McKay · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
McKay is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hornets.
Naytel Mitchell · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Mitchell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hornets.
Caleb Reese · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Reese is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hornets.
Dylan Spencer · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Spencer is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hornets.
Bryson Summers · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Summers is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hornets.
Dionte Thornton · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Thornton is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hornets.
Jadakiss Vaokakala · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Vaokakala is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hornets.
Jiah Walls · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Walls is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hornets.
Will Weber · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Weber is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hornets.
Wed, Nov 11 · 7:30 PM ET
Massachusetts at Toledo
Line Toledo −14.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Toledo −12.3 · Edge 0.3
Entry Toledo −14.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Massachusetts +14.5Model Toledo −13.6 · Edge 0.1
Beta Toledo −14.4 · Edge 0.0
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Success rate+9.03 → Toledo Opp-adjusted offense+4.28 → Toledo Net PPA (efficiency)−3.34 → Massachusetts Opp-adjusted defense−1.55 → Massachusetts Explosiveness−1.07 → Massachusetts Points per opportunity−0.67 → Massachusetts Rest advantage−0.42 → Massachusetts
Beta
Success rate+8.58 → Toledo Opp-adjusted offense+3.96 → Toledo Net PPA (efficiency)−1.12 → Massachusetts Opp-adjusted defense−1.11 → Massachusetts Explosiveness−0.96 → Massachusetts Points per opportunity−0.71 → Massachusetts Conference tier gap−0.29 → Massachusetts
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Toledo (home), left/blue favors Massachusetts (away).
Injuries & availability (18 listed)
Toledo · 13 listed
Cam Gwinn · DT Out
Undisclosed
Gwinn is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Rockets.
Dane Nauman · RB Out
Undisclosed
Nauman is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Rockets.
Emilio Duran · P Questionable
Undisclosed
Duran is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rockets.
Stephen Gales · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Gales is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rockets.
Nathan Gersh · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Gersh is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the court for the Rockets.
Kari Jackson · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Jackson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rockets.
Trenton Jones · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Jones is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rockets.
Sam Lee · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Lee is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rockets.
Langston Long · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Long is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rockets.
Luke Rector · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Rector is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rockets.
Corey Smith · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rockets.
Connor Walendzak · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Walendzak is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rockets.
Grant Zimmerly · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Zimmerly is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rockets.
Massachusetts · 5 listed
Zachary Betts · DL Out
Undisclosed
Betts is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Minutemen. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Dallas Elliott · WR Out
Undisclosed
Elliott is battling an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Minutemen. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Greg Klingensmith · OL Out
Undisclosed
Klingensmith is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Minutemen. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jordan Washington · RB Out
Undisclosed
Washington is battling an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Minutemen. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Matt Ogunniyi · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Ogunniyi is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Minutemen.
Wed, Nov 11 · 7:30 PM ET
Buffalo at Ball State
Line Buffalo −2.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Buffalo −5.6 · Edge 0.5
Entry Buffalo −2.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Ball State +2.5Model Ball State −1.1 · Edge 0.5
Beta Buffalo −6.5 · Edge 0.6
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense−4.98 → Buffalo Success rate−3.63 → Buffalo Net PPA (efficiency)+1.52 → Ball State Opp-adjusted offense−1.50 → Buffalo Havoc rate−0.97 → Buffalo Points per opportunity+0.79 → Ball State Explosiveness−0.67 → Buffalo Rest advantage−0.53 → Buffalo
Beta
Opp-adjusted defense−3.87 → Buffalo Success rate−3.25 → Buffalo Havoc rate−1.46 → Buffalo Opp-adjusted offense−1.25 → Buffalo Points per opportunity+0.79 → Ball State Explosiveness−0.58 → Buffalo Net PPA (efficiency)+0.47 → Ball State Turnover margin−0.35 → Buffalo
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Ball State (home), left/blue favors Buffalo (away).
Injuries & availability (28 listed)
Ball State · 10 listed
Tobi Adewoyin · DB Out
Undisclosed
Adewoyin is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Cardinals.
Zach Bandy · OL Out
Undisclosed
Bandy is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Cardinals.
Cole Coonrod · TE Out
Undisclosed
Coonrod is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Cardinals.
Ryan Eldridge · OL Out
Undisclosed
Eldridge is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Cardinals.
Kendrick Gilbert · DT Out
Undisclosed
Gilbert is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Cardinals.
Mason Riggins · TE Out
Undisclosed
Riggins is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Cardinals.
Derion Talbert · WR Out
Undisclosed
Talbert is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Cardinals.
Sean Ward · TE Out
Undisclosed
Ward is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not the field for the Cardinals.
Cedric Franklin II · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Franklin II is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinals.
Blake Scriber · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Scriber is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinals.
Buffalo · 18 listed
Elijah Holmes · QB Out
Knee
Holmes is dealing with a knee injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulls. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jake Forburger · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Forburger is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulls.
Joe Crocker · OL Out
Undisclosed
Crocker is dealing with undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bulls.
Jackson Davenport · OL Out
Undisclosed
Davenport is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bulls.
Charlton Goodell · DT Out
Undisclosed
Goodell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bulls.
George Hill · LB Out
Undisclosed
Hill is dealing with undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bulls.
Jamiere Munson · S Out
Undisclosed
Munson is dealing with undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bulls.
Terrance Shelton Jr. · RB Out
Undisclosed
Shelton Jr. is battling an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bulls.
Ramari Taylor · CB Out
Undisclosed
Taylor is dealing with undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bulls.
Jacari Bennett · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Bennett is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulls.
Dylan Cleary · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Cleary is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulls.
Jack Garbolino · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Garbolino is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulls.
Mathew Hilty · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Hilty is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulls.
Zae Jennings · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Jennings is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulls.
Alvin Jones III · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Jones III is dealing with undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulls.
DJ Mangan · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Mangan is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulls.
Mark-Anthony Scott Jr. · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Scott Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulls.
Jeremiah Watkins · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Watkins is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulls.
Thu, Nov 12 · 8:00 PM ET
Memphis at South Florida
Line Memphis −5.0 (was Memphis −5.5)
SAIF
No playAlpha model Memphis −3.6 · Edge 0.3
Entry Memphis −5.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM · now Memphis −5.0
Gamma · shadow
South Florida +5.0Model Memphis −1.8 · Edge 0.5
Beta Memphis −4.4 · Edge 0.1
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted offense−8.74 → Memphis Opp-adjusted defense+3.48 → South Florida Success rate−2.51 → Memphis Explosiveness+1.19 → South Florida Rest advantage−1.14 → Memphis Points per opportunity−0.32 → Memphis Neutral site+0.10 → South Florida Havoc rate−0.10 → Memphis
Beta
Opp-adjusted offense−7.78 → Memphis Opp-adjusted defense+2.95 → South Florida Success rate−2.20 → Memphis Rest advantage−1.27 → Memphis Explosiveness+1.18 → South Florida Points per opportunity−0.35 → Memphis Conference tier gap−0.29 → Memphis Neutral site+0.11 → South Florida
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors South Florida (home), left/blue favors Memphis (away).
South Florida: QB1 Michael Van Buren Jr. missed last game; models still rate the team with him.
Injuries & availability (13 listed)
South Florida · 8 listed
Michael Van Buren Jr. · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Van Buren Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulls.
Jaden Alexis · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Alexis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulls.
Arhmad Branch · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Branch is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulls.
Iverson Garcia-Ponce · NT Questionable
Undisclosed
Garcia-Ponce is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulls.
Cash Hudson · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Hudson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulls.
A'Mon Lane-Ganus · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Lane-Ganus is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulls.
Gabe Legrand · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Legrand is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulls.
Thomas Shrader · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Shrader is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulls.
Memphis · 5 listed
J'Mari Monette · DL Out
Undisclosed
Monette is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Tigers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Richard Thigpen · OL Out
Undisclosed
Thigpen is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Tigers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Desmond Cox · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Cox is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers.
Aaron Karas · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Karas is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers.
Trey McDonald · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
McDonald is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers.
Thu, Nov 12 · 9:00 PM ET
Louisiana at UL Monroe
Line Louisiana −10.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Louisiana −8.5 · Edge 0.3
Entry Louisiana −10.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Louisiana −10.5Model Louisiana −12.5 · Edge 0.3
Beta Louisiana −9.9 · Edge 0.1
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted offense−6.09 → Louisiana Opp-adjusted defense−5.26 → Louisiana Net PPA (efficiency)+3.64 → UL Monroe Success rate−3.10 → Louisiana Havoc rate−1.63 → Louisiana Explosiveness−1.11 → Louisiana Points per opportunity+0.66 → UL Monroe Rest advantage−0.41 → Louisiana
Beta
Opp-adjusted offense−5.38 → Louisiana Opp-adjusted defense−4.10 → Louisiana Success rate−2.76 → Louisiana Havoc rate−2.48 → Louisiana Net PPA (efficiency)+1.17 → UL Monroe Explosiveness−1.01 → Louisiana Turnover margin+0.83 → UL Monroe Points per opportunity+0.65 → UL Monroe
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors UL Monroe (home), left/blue favors Louisiana (away).
Injuries & availability (16 listed)
UL Monroe · 9 listed
Makin Lenard · RB Out
Undisclosed
Lenard is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Warhawks. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jackson Parker · LB Out
Undisclosed
Tucker is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Warhawks. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Roscoe Tucker · OL Out
Undisclosed
Tucker is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Warhawks. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Javon Campbell · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Campbell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Warhawks.
RJ Hall · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Hall is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Warhawks.
Van Martinez · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Martinez is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Warhawks.
Zach Palmer-Smith · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Palmer-Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Warhawks.
CJ Phillip · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Phillip is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Warhawks.
Korian Wilson · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Wilson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Warhawks.
Louisiana · 7 listed
Hayden Darbonne · LB Out
Undisclosed
Darbonne is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Ragin' Cajuns. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jeramiah Holts · DL Out
Undisclosed
Holts is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Ragin' Cajuns. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Conor McPherson · LB Out
Undisclosed
McPherson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Ragin' Cajuns. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Darrell Smith · RB Out
Undisclosed
Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Ragin' Cajuns. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
AJ Spencer · LB Out
Undisclosed
Spencer is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Ragin' Cajuns. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Landon Strother · WR Out
Undisclosed
Strother is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Ragin' Cajuns. He will miss an extended period of time.
J'Marion Gooch · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Gooch is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Ragin' Cajuns.
Fri, Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Florida State at Pittsburgh
Line Pittsburgh −3.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Pittsburgh −5.2 · Edge 0.2
Entry Pittsburgh −3.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Pittsburgh −3.5Model Pittsburgh −5.3 · Edge 0.3
Beta Pittsburgh −5.4 · Edge 0.3
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Success rate+3.64 → Pittsburgh Explosiveness−3.62 → Florida State Opp-adjusted defense+3.23 → Pittsburgh Opp-adjusted offense−2.67 → Florida State Net PPA (efficiency)−0.77 → Florida State Havoc rate+0.59 → Pittsburgh Rest advantage+0.38 → Pittsburgh Turnover margin−0.24 → Florida State
Beta
Success rate+3.54 → Pittsburgh Explosiveness−3.39 → Florida State Opp-adjusted defense+2.74 → Pittsburgh Opp-adjusted offense−2.30 → Florida State Rest advantage+1.37 → Pittsburgh Havoc rate+0.99 → Pittsburgh Turnover margin−0.66 → Florida State Conference tier gap−0.29 → Florida State
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Pittsburgh (home), left/blue favors Florida State (away).
Pittsburgh: QB1 Mason Heintschel out 4 straight games (already in team stats).
Injuries & availability (25 listed)
Pittsburgh · 11 listed
Mason Heintschel · QB Out
Knee
Heintschel has suffered a torn ACL and will not take the field for the Panthers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Ben Kauffman · DL Out
Undisclosed
Kauffman is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Panthers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Allen Bryant · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Bryant is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Panthers.
Rodney Dunbar · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Dunbar is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Panthers.
Max Hunt · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Hunt is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Panthers.
Elijah Lagg · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Lagg is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Panthers.
Cameron Lindsey · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Lindsey is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Panthers.
Eliyt Nairne · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Nairne is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Panthers.
Isaac Patterson · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Patterson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Panthers.
Tyreek Robinson · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Robinson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Panthers.
Trevor Sommers · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Sommers is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Panthers.
Florida State · 14 listed
Jaden O'Neal · QB Out
Undisclosed
O'Neal suffered an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Seminoles. He will miss the 2026 season.
Ousmane Kromah · RB Out
Ankle
Kromah is dealing with an ankle injury and will not take the field for the Seminoles. He is expected to miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Duce Robinson · WR Out
Knee
Robinson suffered a torn ACL and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Samuel Singleton Jr. · RB Out
Lower Body
Singleton Jr. is dealing with a lower-body injury and will not take the field for the Seminoles.
Daylen Green · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Green is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Seminoles.
Karson Hobbs · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Hobbs is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Seminoles.
Jamari Howard · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Howard is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Seminoles.
Quindarrius Jones · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Jones is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Seminoles.
Noah LaVallee · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
LaVallee is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Seminoles.
Conor McAneney · K Questionable
Undisclosed
McAneney is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Seminoles.
Deante McCray · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
McCray is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Seminoles.
Blake Nichelson · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Nichelson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Seminoles.
Izayia Williams · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Seminoles.
Kevin Wynn · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Wynn is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Seminoles.
Fri, Nov 13 · 9:00 PM ET
Illinois at UCLA
Line UCLA −10.0
SAIF
No playAlpha model UCLA −11.8 · Edge 0.3
Entry UCLA −10.0, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
UCLA −10.0Model UCLA −17.8 · Edge 1.2
Beta UCLA −11.0 · Edge 0.1
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense+4.54 → UCLA Opp-adjusted offense+3.27 → UCLA Net PPA (efficiency)−1.99 → Illinois Explosiveness−1.21 → Illinois Rest advantage−0.50 → Illinois Turnover margin−0.27 → Illinois
Beta
Opp-adjusted defense+3.80 → UCLA Opp-adjusted offense+3.05 → UCLA Explosiveness−1.10 → Illinois Turnover margin−0.76 → Illinois Net PPA (efficiency)−0.68 → Illinois Conference tier gap−0.29 → Illinois
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors UCLA (home), left/blue favors Illinois (away).
UCLA: QB1 Nico Iamaleava out 4 straight games (already in team stats).
Injuries & availability (22 listed)
UCLA · 10 listed
Nico Iamaleava · QB Out
Leg
Iameleava has suffered a knee injury and is expected to miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Mikey Matthews · WR Out
Lower Body
Matthews suffered a lower-body injury and will not take the field for the Bruins. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jordan Davis · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bruins.
Curtis Gerrand · P Questionable
Undisclosed
Gerrand is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bruins.
Ryan McCulloch · OLB Questionable
Undisclosed
McCulloch is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bruins.
Rodrick Pleasant · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Pleasant is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bruins.
Jalen Saint Paul · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Saint Paul is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bruins.
Ashton Sanders · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Sanders is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bruins.
Jonah Smith · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bruins.
Sam Yoon · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Yoon is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bruins.
Illinois · 12 listed
Michael Clayton II · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Clayton II is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Fighting Illini.
Tanner Hollinger · TE Out
Undisclosed
Hollinger is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Illini. He will miss the 2026 season.
Alex Perry · WR Out
Shoulder
Perry is dealing with a shoulder injury and will not take the field for the Fighting Illini. He will miss the 2026 season.
Ca'Lil Valentine · RB Out
Undisclosed
Valentine is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Fighting Illini. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Grant Beerman · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Beerman is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Fighting Illini.
Tywan Cox · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Cox is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Fighting Illini.
Demetrius John · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
John is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Fighting Illini.
TJ McMillen · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
McMillen is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Fighting Illini.
Jayshon Platt · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Platt is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Fighting Illini.
Kai Pritchard · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Pritchard is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Fighting Illini.
Carter Smith · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Fighting Illini.
BJ Thurman · TE Questionable
Foot
Thurman is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Fighting Illini.
Fri, Nov 13 · 10:15 PM ET
Houston at Colorado
Line Houston −10.0 (was Houston −10.5)
SAIF
No playAlpha model Houston −11.0 · Edge 0.1
Entry Houston −10.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM · now Houston −10.0
Gamma · shadow
Colorado +10.0Model Houston −7.5 · Edge 0.4
Beta Houston −11.2 · Edge 0.2
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted offense−8.03 → Houston Success rate−6.98 → Houston Opp-adjusted defense−3.49 → Houston Net PPA (efficiency)+2.58 → Colorado Havoc rate−1.35 → Houston Explosiveness+1.24 → Colorado Points per opportunity+0.51 → Colorado Turnover margin+0.48 → Colorado
Beta
Opp-adjusted offense−7.14 → Houston Success rate−6.38 → Houston Opp-adjusted defense−2.68 → Houston Havoc rate−2.05 → Houston Turnover margin+1.36 → Colorado Explosiveness+1.23 → Colorado Net PPA (efficiency)+0.82 → Colorado Points per opportunity+0.51 → Colorado
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Colorado (home), left/blue favors Houston (away).
Injuries & availability (8 listed)
Colorado · 7 listed
Braylon Edwards · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Edwards is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Buffaloes.
Sam Gadie · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Gadie is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Buffaloes.
Kaleb Mathis · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Mathis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Buffaloes.
Naeten Mitchell · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Mitchell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Buffaloes.
Danny Scudero · WR Questionable
Ankle
Scudero is dealing with an ankle injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Buffaloes.
Vili Taufatofua · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Taufatofua is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Buffaloes.
Micah Welch · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Welch is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Buffaloes.
Houston · 1 listed
John Hebert · RB Out
Lower Leg
Hebert is dealing with a lower leg injury and will not take the field for the Cougars. He is expected to miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Sat, Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET
Cincinnati at Iowa State
Line Iowa State −2.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Iowa State −0.8 · Edge 0.2
Entry Iowa State −2.5, locked Sun 9:37 PM
Gamma · shadow
Cincinnati +2.5Model Iowa State −0.6 · Edge 0.3
Beta Cincinnati −0.4 · Edge 0.4
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Success rate−2.21 → Cincinnati Explosiveness−1.36 → Cincinnati Havoc rate−0.86 → Cincinnati Net PPA (efficiency)+0.81 → Iowa State Opp-adjusted defense+0.43 → Iowa State Rest advantage−0.40 → Cincinnati Neutral site+0.10 → Iowa State Points per opportunity−0.08 → Cincinnati
Beta
Success rate−1.92 → Cincinnati Havoc rate−1.28 → Cincinnati Explosiveness−1.24 → Cincinnati Opp-adjusted defense+0.48 → Iowa State Conference tier gap−0.29 → Cincinnati Net PPA (efficiency)+0.24 → Iowa State Opp-adjusted offense+0.14 → Iowa State Neutral site+0.11 → Iowa State
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Iowa State (home), left/blue favors Cincinnati (away).
Injuries & availability (21 listed)
Iowa State · 10 listed
Connor Moberly · QB Questionable
Arm
Moberly is dealing with a right arm injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cyclones.
Salahadin Allah · RB Out
Achilles
Allah is dealing with a torn Achilles will not take the field for the Cyclones. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Braden Awls · S Out
Knee
Awls is dealing with a torn ACL and will not take the field for the Cyclones. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Jordyn Bailey · WR Out
Undisclosed
Bailey is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Cyclones. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Evan Boyd · WR Out
Undisclosed
Boyd is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Cyclones. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Dominic Overby · WR Out
Undisclosed
Overby is dealing with a knee injury and will not take the field for the Cyclones. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Keaton Roskop · TE Out
Undisclosed
Roskop is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Cyclones. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Ka'Mori Moore · DT Questionable
Undisclosed
Moore is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cyclones.
Beni Ngoyi · CB Questionable
Leg
Ngoyi is dealing with a lower leg injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cyclones.
Keyon Washington · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Washington is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cyclones.
Cincinnati · 11 listed
Ty Goodwill · S Out
Achilles
Goodwill suffered an Achilles injury and will not take the field for the Bearcats. He will miss the 2026 season.
Giyahni Kontosis · WR Out
Ankle
Kontosis is dealing with an ankle injury and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Flynn Schiele · WR Out
Undisclosed
Schiele suffered an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bearcats. He will miss the 2026 season.
Simeon Coleman · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Coleman is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bearcats.
Grant Edgington · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Edgington is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bearcats.
JV Gibson · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Gibson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bearcats.
Cole Tabb · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Tabb is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bearcats.
Taran Tyo · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Tyo is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bearcats.
Montay Weedon · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Weedon is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bearcats.
DaMari Witherspoon · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Witherspoon is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bearcats.
Devyn Zahursky · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Zahursky is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bearcats.
Sat, Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET
Northwestern at Ohio State
Line Ohio State −11.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Ohio State −12.9 · Edge 0.2
Entry Ohio State −11.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Ohio State −11.5Model Ohio State −13.6 · Edge 0.3
Beta Ohio State −13.8 · Edge 0.3
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Success rate+7.10 → Ohio State Opp-adjusted offense+2.86 → Ohio State Net PPA (efficiency)−1.83 → Northwestern Explosiveness−0.96 → Northwestern Opp-adjusted defense+0.90 → Ohio State Havoc rate+0.88 → Ohio State Rest advantage−0.40 → Northwestern Points per opportunity−0.38 → Northwestern
Beta
Success rate+6.78 → Ohio State Opp-adjusted offense+2.68 → Ohio State Havoc rate+1.44 → Ohio State Opp-adjusted defense+0.87 → Ohio State Explosiveness−0.86 → Northwestern Turnover margin+0.68 → Ohio State Net PPA (efficiency)−0.63 → Northwestern Points per opportunity−0.41 → Northwestern
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Ohio State (home), left/blue favors Northwestern (away).
Ohio State: QB1 Julian Sayin out 2 straight games (already in team stats).
Northwestern: QB1 Aidan Chiles missed last game; models still rate the team with him.
Injuries & availability (19 listed)
Ohio State · 8 listed
Julian Sayin · QB Out
Upper Body
Sayin is dealing with an upper-body injury and will not take the field for the Buckeyes. He is expected to miss multiple weeks.
Ja'Kobi Jackson · RB Out
Foot
Jackson is dealing with a foot injury and will not take the field for the Buckeyes. He hopes to return in time for the final week of the regular season.
Brock Boyd · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Boyd is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Buckeyes.
Brandon Inniss · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Inniss is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Buckeyes.
Maxence LeBlanc · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
LeBlanc is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Buckeyes.
Eli Lee · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Lee is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Buckeyes.
Jaxon Powell · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Powell is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Buckeyes.
Deshawn Stewart · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Stewart is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Buckeyes.
Northwestern · 11 listed
Aidan Chiles · QB Questionable
Upper Body
Chiles is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Ezomo Oratokhai · OL Out
Lower Body
Oratokhai is dealing with a lower-body injury and will not take the field for the Wildcats. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Daniel Anderson · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Anderson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Josh Fussell · DB Questionable
Lower Body
Fussell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Qayvier Johnson · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Jon Jon Stevens Jr. · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Stevens Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Jacob Miller · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Miller is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Max Mohring · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Mohring is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Chris Petrucci · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Petrucci is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Robby Preckel · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Preckel is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Jason Reynolds II · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Reynolds II is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Sat, Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET
Wisconsin at Maryland
Line Wisconsin −7.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Wisconsin −7.4 · Edge 0.0
Entry Wisconsin −7.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Wisconsin −7.5Model Wisconsin −10.7 · Edge 0.5
Beta Wisconsin −7.0 · Edge 0.1
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense−9.14 → Wisconsin Explosiveness−2.81 → Wisconsin Net PPA (efficiency)+1.40 → Maryland Opp-adjusted offense−0.91 → Wisconsin Points per opportunity+0.64 → Maryland Success rate−0.54 → Wisconsin Rest advantage−0.40 → Wisconsin Turnover margin−0.20 → Wisconsin
Beta
Opp-adjusted defense−7.23 → Wisconsin Explosiveness−2.62 → Wisconsin Opp-adjusted offense−0.72 → Wisconsin Points per opportunity+0.63 → Maryland Turnover margin−0.57 → Wisconsin Net PPA (efficiency)+0.43 → Maryland Success rate−0.36 → Wisconsin Conference tier gap−0.29 → Wisconsin
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Maryland (home), left/blue favors Wisconsin (away).
Wisconsin: QB1 Colton Joseph missed last game; models still rate the team with him.
Injuries & availability (12 listed)
Maryland · 7 listed
Zahir Mathis · LB Out
Lower Leg
Mathis is dealing with a lower leg injury and will not take the field for the Terrapins. He is expected to miss the entire 2026 season.
Harry Dalton III · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Dalton III is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Terrapins.
Darius Grimes · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Grimes is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Terrapins.
DJ Samuels · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Samuels is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Terrapins.
Trevor Szymanski · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Syzmanski is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Terrapins.
Josiah Teasley · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Teasley is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Terrapins.
Javonte Williams · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Terrapins.
Wisconsin · 5 listed
Cai Bates · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Bates is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Badgers.
Emmett Bork · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Bork is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Badgers.
Kevin Heywood · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Heywood is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Badgers.
Barrett Nelson · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Nelson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Badgers.
Nate Palmer · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Palmer is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Badgers.
Sat, Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET
James Madison at UConn
Line James Madison −3.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model James Madison −8.1 · Edge 0.7
Entry James Madison −3.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
James Madison −3.5Model James Madison −5.8 · Edge 0.4
Beta James Madison −9.1 · Edge 0.8
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Success rate−7.03 → James Madison Opp-adjusted defense−4.63 → James Madison Opp-adjusted offense−4.18 → James Madison Explosiveness+2.66 → UConn Net PPA (efficiency)+2.06 → UConn Havoc rate−1.20 → James Madison Rest advantage−0.62 → James Madison Points per opportunity+0.34 → UConn
Beta
Success rate−6.43 → James Madison Opp-adjusted offense−3.66 → James Madison Opp-adjusted defense−3.60 → James Madison Explosiveness+2.58 → UConn Havoc rate−1.81 → James Madison Net PPA (efficiency)+0.65 → UConn Rest advantage−0.37 → James Madison Points per opportunity+0.33 → UConn
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors UConn (home), left/blue favors James Madison (away).
Injuries & availability (7 listed)
UConn · 2 listed
Jake Merklinger · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Merklinger is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Huskies.
Trey Cornist · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Cornist is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Chippewas.
James Madison · 5 listed
Tanner Vibabul · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Vibabul is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Dukes.
Kylan Billiot · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Billiot is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Dukes.
Jayon Harvey · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Harvey is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Dukes.
KD Mosley · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Mosley is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Dukes.
George Pettaway · RB Questionable
Lower Body
Pettaway is dealing with a lower body injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Dukes.
Sat, Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET
Syracuse at NC State
Line Syracuse −3.0
SAIF
No playAlpha model Pick'em · Edge 0.5
Entry Syracuse −3.0, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
NC State +3.0Model Syracuse −0.2 · Edge 0.4
Beta NC State −0.4 · Edge 0.5
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense−2.49 → Syracuse Success rate+2.26 → NC State Opp-adjusted offense−1.79 → Syracuse Net PPA (efficiency)−0.89 → Syracuse Rest advantage−0.42 → Syracuse Explosiveness−0.41 → Syracuse Points per opportunity−0.38 → Syracuse Havoc rate−0.23 → Syracuse
Beta
Success rate+2.25 → NC State Opp-adjusted defense−1.87 → Syracuse Opp-adjusted offense−1.51 → Syracuse Points per opportunity−0.41 → Syracuse Explosiveness−0.34 → Syracuse Net PPA (efficiency)−0.32 → Syracuse Havoc rate−0.29 → Syracuse Conference tier gap−0.29 → Syracuse
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors NC State (home), left/blue favors Syracuse (away).
Injuries & availability (19 listed)
NC State · 12 listed
Will Wilson · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Wilson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wolfpack.
Preston Douglas · TE Out
Undisclosed
Douglas is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Wolfpack.
Teddy Hoffmann · WR Out
Suspension
Hoffmann has been suspended for testing positive for performance-enhancing substances and will not take the field for the Wolfpack. He will sit out the entire 2026 season.
Yousef Mugharbil · OL Out
Undisclosed
Mugharbil is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Wolfpack. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Vander Ploog · TE Out
Undisclosed
Ploog is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Wolfpack. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
AJ Richardson · LB Out
Undisclosed
Richardson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Wolfpack. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Spike Sowells Jr. · OL Out
Undisclosed
Sowells Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Wolfpack. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Isaiah Crowell · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Crowell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wolfpack.
Daniel Cruz · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Cruz is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wolfpack.
Ian Flynt · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Flynt is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wolfpack.
Nick Konieczynski · K Questionable
Undisclosed
Konieczynski is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wolfpack.
Tristan Teasdell · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Teasdell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wolfpack.
Syracuse · 7 listed
Amari Odom · QB Out
Undisclosed
Odom is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Orange. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Malachi Nelson · QB Questionable
Ankle
Nelson is dealing with an ankle injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Orange.
Jai Eugene Jr. · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Eugene Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Orange.
Alex Haskell · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Haskell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Orange.
Jackson Iak · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Iak is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Orange.
Terrell Wilfong · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Wilfong is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Orange.
Darien Williams · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Orange.
Sat, Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET
Duke at Miami
Line Miami −13.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Miami −11.8 · Edge 0.3
Entry Miami −13.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Duke +13.5Model Miami −13.5 · Edge 0.0
Beta Miami −11.0 · Edge 0.4
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted offense+7.89 → Miami Success rate+5.08 → Miami Explosiveness−2.51 → Duke Opp-adjusted defense−2.24 → Duke Rest advantage−0.45 → Duke Net PPA (efficiency)−0.29 → Duke Points per opportunity−0.25 → Duke Neutral site+0.10 → Miami
Beta
Opp-adjusted offense+7.22 → Miami Success rate+4.88 → Miami Explosiveness−2.34 → Duke Opp-adjusted defense−1.67 → Duke Conference tier gap−0.29 → Duke Points per opportunity−0.28 → Duke Net PPA (efficiency)−0.12 → Duke
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Miami (home), left/blue favors Duke (away).
Injuries & availability (17 listed)
Miami · 7 listed
Ja'Boree Antoine · DB Out
Undisclosed
Antoine suffered an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Hurricanes. He will miss the 2026 season.
CharMar Brown · RB Out
Knee
Brown is dealing with a right knee injury and will not take the field for the Hurricanes. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Romanas Frederique Jr. · DB Out
Undisclosed
Frederique Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Hurricanes. He is without a timetable for return.
Luka Gilbert · TE Out
Undisclosed
Gilbert is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Hurricanes. He will miss the 2026 season.
Joshua Moore · WR Out
Upper Body
Moore is dealing with an upper-body injury and will not take the field for the Hurricanes. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Malachi Toney · WR Out
Ankle
Toney is dealing with an ankle injury and will not take the field for the Hurricanes. He will miss 4 to 6 weeks.
Max Buchanan · OL Questionable
Knee
Buchanan is dealing with a knee injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hurricanes.
Duke · 10 listed
Cosme Salas · K Out
Undisclosed
Salas is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Blue Devils. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
David Anderson · DT Questionable
Undisclosed
Anderson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Blue Devils.
Roman Fina · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Fina is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Blue Devils.
Kai Jacobowitz · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Jacobowitz is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Blue Devils.
Qeanu Johnson · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Blue Devils.
Jamien Little · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Little is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Blue Devils.
Reagan McCranie · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
McCranie is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Blue Devils.
Kimari Robinson · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Robinson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Blue Devils.
Elliott Schaper · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Schaper is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Blue Devils.
Kavon Simmons · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Simmons is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Blue Devils.
Sat, Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET
Auburn at Mississippi State
Line Auburn −2.5 (was Auburn −3.0)
SAIF
Mississippi State +3.0Ticket: BetRivers (-113)
Alpha model Mississippi State −4.9 · Edge 1.2
Entry Auburn −3.0, locked Sun 9:27 PM · now Auburn −2.5
Gamma · shadow
Mississippi State +2.5Model Mississippi State −3.4 · Edge 0.9
Beta Mississippi State −4.1 · Edge 1.0
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense−1.48 → Auburn Opp-adjusted offense+1.38 → Mississippi State Net PPA (efficiency)+1.10 → Mississippi State Success rate−0.66 → Auburn Explosiveness+0.54 → Mississippi State Rest advantage−0.44 → Auburn Turnover margin+0.22 → Mississippi State
Beta
Opp-adjusted offense+1.35 → Mississippi State Opp-adjusted defense−1.05 → Auburn Turnover margin+0.63 → Mississippi State Explosiveness+0.56 → Mississippi State Success rate−0.47 → Auburn Net PPA (efficiency)+0.34 → Mississippi State Conference tier gap−0.29 → Auburn
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Mississippi State (home), left/blue favors Auburn (away).
Mississippi State: QB1 Kamario Taylor out 2 straight games (already in team stats).
Injuries & availability (14 listed)
Mississippi State · 7 listed
Kamario Taylor · QB Out
Toe
Taylor is set to undergo surgery on his toe and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Trevion Williams · DL Out
Undisclosed
Williams is dealing with an leg injury and will miss the rest of the 2026 season.
Derion Gullette · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Gullette is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulldogs.
Tyler Lockhart · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Lockhart is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulldogs.
Diesel Moye · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Moye is battling an undisclosed Injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulldogs.
Isaac Smith · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulldogs.
Jalen Smith · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulldogs.
Auburn · 7 listed
Devin Williams · CB Out
Knee
Williams is dealing with a torn ACL and will not take the field for the Tigers. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Tai Buster · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Buster is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers.
Bryce Deas · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Deas is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers.
Hunter Herring · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Herring is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers.
Andre Jordan Jr. · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Jordan Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers.
Jeremiah Koger · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Koger is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers.
Sylvester Smith-Reed · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Smith-Reed is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers.
Sat, Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET
Wake Forest at SMU
Line Wake Forest −1.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Wake Forest −4.5 · Edge 0.5
Entry Wake Forest −1.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Wake Forest −1.5Model Wake Forest −2.0 · Edge 0.1
Beta Wake Forest −4.9 · Edge 0.5
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense−4.29 → Wake Forest Explosiveness−3.12 → Wake Forest Opp-adjusted offense−2.78 → Wake Forest Net PPA (efficiency)+1.98 → SMU Success rate−1.15 → Wake Forest Points per opportunity+0.98 → SMU Havoc rate−0.35 → Wake Forest Rest advantage−0.32 → Wake Forest
Beta
Opp-adjusted defense−3.32 → Wake Forest Explosiveness−2.92 → Wake Forest Opp-adjusted offense−2.40 → Wake Forest Points per opportunity+0.98 → SMU Success rate−0.93 → Wake Forest Net PPA (efficiency)+0.62 → SMU Havoc rate−0.49 → Wake Forest Conference tier gap−0.29 → Wake Forest
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors SMU (home), left/blue favors Wake Forest (away).
Wake Forest: QB1 Giovanni Lopez missed last game; models still rate the team with him.
Injuries & availability (15 listed)
SMU · 10 listed
Abel Hoopii · OL Out
Foot
Hoopii is dealing with a broken foot and will not take the field for the Mustangs. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Tyren Polley Jr. · S Out
Pectoral
Polley Jr. is dealing with a torn pectoral and will not take the field for the Mustangs. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Link Rhodes · RB Out
Knee
Rhodes is dealing with a knee injury and will not take the field for the Mustangs. He will miss the 2026 season.
Carterrious Brown · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Brown is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mustangs.
Jaelyn Davis-Robinson · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Davis-Robinson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mustangs.
Ahmaad Moses · S Questionable
Personal
Moses is ineligible and is uncertain to take the field for the Mustangs.
Ira Singleton IV · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Singleton IV is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mustangs.
Trey Wilson · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Wilson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mustangs.
Xavier Wright · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Wright is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mustangs.
I'Zayah Young · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Young is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mustangs.
Wake Forest · 5 listed
Gio Lopez · QB Questionable
Lower Body
Lopez is dealing with a lower body injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Demon Deacons.
Devin Cook · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Cook is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Demon Deacons.
Dalton DeBoer · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
DeBoer is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Demon Deacons.
Will Loerzel · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Loerzel is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Demon Deacons.
Elijah Otieno · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Otieno is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Demon Deacons.
Sat, Nov 14 · 12:30 PM ET
Georgia Tech at Clemson
Line Clemson −13.5 (was Clemson −13.0)
SAIF
No playAlpha model Clemson −9.4 · Edge 0.5
Entry Clemson −13.0, locked Sun 9:27 PM · now Clemson −13.5
Gamma · shadow
Georgia Tech +13.5Model Clemson −9.5 · Edge 0.6
Beta Clemson −8.6 · Edge 0.7
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense+6.78 → Clemson Havoc rate+1.25 → Clemson Explosiveness−0.99 → Georgia Tech Net PPA (efficiency)−0.55 → Georgia Tech Points per opportunity−0.48 → Georgia Tech Rest advantage−0.38 → Georgia Tech Opp-adjusted offense−0.35 → Georgia Tech Turnover margin−0.17 → Georgia Tech
Beta
Opp-adjusted defense+5.61 → Clemson Havoc rate+2.02 → Clemson Explosiveness−0.90 → Georgia Tech Points per opportunity−0.51 → Georgia Tech Turnover margin−0.49 → Georgia Tech Conference tier gap−0.29 → Georgia Tech Opp-adjusted offense−0.21 → Georgia Tech Net PPA (efficiency)−0.21 → Georgia Tech
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Clemson (home), left/blue favors Georgia Tech (away).
Injuries & availability (34 listed)
Clemson · 17 listed
Polo Anderson · S Out
Knee
Anderson suffered a torn ACL and will not take the field for the Tigers. He will miss the 2026 season.
Hevin Brown-Shuler · DT Out
Illness
Brown-Shuler is recovering from an illness and will not take the field for the Tigers. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
David Eziomume · RB Out
Leg
Eziomume is dealing with a leg injury and will not take the field for the Tigers. He will miss the rest of the 2026 season.
Corian Gipson · CB Out
Knee
Gipson suffered a knee injury and will not take the field for the Tigers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Kourtney Kelly · DT Out
Knee
Kelly suffered a torn ACL and will not take the field for the Tigers. He will miss the 2026 season.
Peyton Streko · RB Out
Undisclosed
Streko is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Tigers. He is expected to miss the 2026 season.
Markus Strong · DT Out
Leg
Strong suffered a leg injury and will not take the field for the Tigers. He is expected to miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Cole Turner · WR Out
Personal
Turner is dealing with a personal matter and will not take the field for the Tigers.
Mason Wade · OL Out
Undisclosed
Wade is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Tigers.
Shavar Young Jr. · CB Out
Undisclosed
Young Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Tigers.
Tyler Brown · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Brown is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers.
Gideon Davidson · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Davidson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers
Kobe McCloud · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
McCloud is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers.
Gordon Sellars III · WR Questionable
Concussion
Sellars III is dealing with a concussion and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers.
Harris Sewell · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Sewell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers.
Elyjah Thurmon · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Thurmon is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers.
Braden Wilmes · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Wilmes is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers.
Georgia Tech · 17 listed
Ethan Mackenny · OL Out
Undisclosed
Mackenny is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Kevin Peay Jr. · OL Out
Undisclosed
Peay is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jordan Boyd · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Boyd is dealing with undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Yellow Jackets.
Kentrell Davis · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Davis is dealing with undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Yellow Jackets.
Kyle Efford · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Efford is dealing with undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Yellow Jackets.
Fenix Felton · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Felton is dealing with undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Yellow Jackets.
Courtney Heard · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Heard is dealing with undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Yellow Jackets.
Kelvin Hill · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Hill is dealing with undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Yellow Jackets.
A.J. Hoffler · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Hoffler is dealing with undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Yellow Jackets.
Malachi Hosley · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Hosley is dealing with undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Yellow Jackets.
Shymeik Jones · DT Questionable
Undisclosed
Jones is dealing with undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Yellow Jackets.
Will Kiker · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Kiker is dealing with undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Yellow Jackets.
Landen Marshall · DT Questionable
Undisclosed
Marshall is dealing with undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Yellow Jackets.
Shane Marshall · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Marshall is dealing with undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Yellow Jackets.
Savion Riley · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Riley is dealing with undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Yellow Jackets.
Markell Samuel · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Samuel is dealing with undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Yellow Jackets.
Rahkeem Smith · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Smith is dealing with undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Yellow Jackets.
Sat, Nov 14 · 12:30 PM ET
Nebraska at Rutgers
Line Nebraska −13.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Nebraska −14.0 · Edge 0.1
Entry Nebraska −13.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Nebraska −13.5Model Nebraska −16.4 · Edge 0.4
Beta Nebraska −14.8 · Edge 0.2
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense−9.20 → Nebraska Success rate−8.15 → Nebraska Opp-adjusted offense−4.02 → Nebraska Net PPA (efficiency)+3.73 → Rutgers Havoc rate−1.73 → Nebraska Points per opportunity+1.15 → Rutgers Rest advantage−0.52 → Nebraska Turnover margin+0.24 → Rutgers
Beta
Success rate−7.47 → Nebraska Opp-adjusted defense−7.28 → Nebraska Opp-adjusted offense−3.52 → Nebraska Havoc rate−2.65 → Nebraska Net PPA (efficiency)+1.20 → Rutgers Points per opportunity+1.16 → Rutgers Turnover margin+0.66 → Rutgers Conference tier gap−0.29 → Nebraska
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Rutgers (home), left/blue favors Nebraska (away).
Rutgers: QB1 Dylan Lonergan out 3 straight games (already in team stats).
Injuries & availability (19 listed)
Rutgers · 11 listed
Dylan Lonergan · QB Questionable
Head
Lonergran is dealing with a head injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Scarlet Knights.
Zahmir Dawud · DB Out
Undisclosed
Dawud is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Scarlet Knights. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Kaj Sanders · DB Out
Undisclosed
Sanders is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Scarlet Knights. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Kwabena Asamoah · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Asamoah is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Scarlet Knights.
J'Dan Burnett · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Burnett is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Scarlet Knights.
KJ Duff · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Duff is dealing with a lower body injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Scarlet Knights.
Joey Kopec · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Kopec is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Scarlet Knights.
Ty Morris · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Morris is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Scarlet Knights.
Tyler Needham · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Needham is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Scarlet Knights.
Dane Pizzaro · K Questionable
Undisclosed
Pizarro is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Scarlet Knights.
Abram Wright · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Wright is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Scarlet Knights.
Nebraska · 8 listed
Vincent Genatone · RB Out
Undisclosed
Genatone underwent surgery for an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Cornhuskers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Anthony Jones Jr. · DL Out
Foot
Jones Jr. is dealing with a broken foot and will not take the field for the Cornhuskers. He will miss an extended period of time.
Kahmir Prescott · DB Out
Knee
Prescott is battling a knee injury and will not take the field for the Cornhuskers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026-27 season.
Jacob Bower · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Bower is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cornhuskers.
Jamir Conn · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Conn is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cornhuskers.
Larry Miles · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Miles is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cornhuskers.
Gabe Moore · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Moore is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cornhuskers.
Jase Reynolds · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Reynolds is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cornhuskers.
Sat, Nov 14 · 12:45 PM ET
Alabama at Vanderbilt
Line Alabama −17.5 (was Alabama −18.5)
SAIF
No playAlpha model Alabama −14.7 · Edge 0.6
Entry Alabama −18.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM · now Alabama −17.5
Gamma · shadow
Alabama −17.5Model Alabama −20.3 · Edge 0.4
Beta Alabama −13.9 · Edge 0.5
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted offense−10.13 → Alabama Opp-adjusted defense−7.00 → Alabama Success rate−6.18 → Alabama Net PPA (efficiency)+3.05 → Vanderbilt Points per opportunity+0.97 → Vanderbilt Explosiveness+0.77 → Vanderbilt Havoc rate−0.58 → Alabama Rest advantage−0.42 → Alabama
Beta
Opp-adjusted offense−9.03 → Alabama Success rate−5.63 → Alabama Opp-adjusted defense−5.50 → Alabama Turnover margin+1.16 → Vanderbilt Net PPA (efficiency)+0.98 → Vanderbilt Points per opportunity+0.97 → Vanderbilt Havoc rate−0.84 → Alabama Explosiveness+0.78 → Vanderbilt
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Vanderbilt (home), left/blue favors Alabama (away).
Injuries & availability (17 listed)
Vanderbilt · 7 listed
Blaze Berlowitz · QB Out
Undisclosed
Berlowitz is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Commodores.
Aaron Bryant · DL Out
Knee
Bryant is dealing with a torn ACL and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Gunner Givens · OL Out
Undisclosed
Givens is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Commodores.
Josiah Broxton · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Broxton is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Commodores.
Evan Hampton · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Hampton is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Commodores.
Nikhil Jefferson · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Jefferson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Commodores.
Daniel Vollmer Jr. · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Vollmer Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Commodores.
Alabama · 10 listed
Jett Thomalla · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Thomalla is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Crimson Tide.
Desmond Umeozulu · LB Out
Toe
Umeozulu is dealing with a toe injury and will not take the field for the Crimson Tide. He is without a timetable for return.
Jeremiah Beaman · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Beaman is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Crimson Tide.
EJ Crowell · RB Questionable
Lower Body
Crowell is dealing with a lower body injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Crimson Tide.
Josh Ford · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Ford is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Crimson Tide.
Jared Graham · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Graham is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Crimson Tide.
Cayden Jones · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Jones is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Crimson Tide.
Casey Poe · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Poe is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Crimson Tide.
William Sanders · OL Questionable
Ankle
Sanders underwent ankle surgery and is uncertain to take the field for the Crimson Tide.
Nick Sherman · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Sherman is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Crimson Tide.
Sat, Nov 14 · 1:00 PM ET
Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina
Line Coastal Carolina −1.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Coastal Carolina −1.3 · Edge 0.0
Entry Coastal Carolina −1.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Arkansas State +1.5Model Arkansas State −0.2 · Edge 0.2
Beta Coastal Carolina −0.7 · Edge 0.1
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Success rate−5.42 → Arkansas State Explosiveness+3.00 → Coastal Carolina Opp-adjusted offense−1.33 → Arkansas State Opp-adjusted defense+0.71 → Coastal Carolina Net PPA (efficiency)+0.64 → Coastal Carolina Rest advantage−0.41 → Arkansas State Havoc rate−0.40 → Arkansas State Turnover margin+0.14 → Coastal Carolina
Beta
Success rate−4.92 → Arkansas State Explosiveness+2.90 → Coastal Carolina Opp-adjusted offense−1.10 → Arkansas State Opp-adjusted defense+0.71 → Coastal Carolina Havoc rate−0.56 → Arkansas State Turnover margin+0.39 → Coastal Carolina Conference tier gap−0.29 → Arkansas State Net PPA (efficiency)+0.19 → Coastal Carolina
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Coastal Carolina (home), left/blue favors Arkansas State (away).
Injuries & availability (9 listed)
Coastal Carolina · 6 listed
Gavin McLaughlin · OL Out
Undisclosed
McLaughlin is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will miss the rest of the 2026 season.
Mason Barton · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Barton is dealing with an undisclosed issue and is uncertain to take the field for the Chanticleers.
Jayden Johnson · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed issue and is uncertain to take the field for the Chanticleers.
Dominic Rijos · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Rijos is dealing with an undisclosed issue and is uncertain to take the field for the Chanticleers.
Breyahn Townsend · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Townsend is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Chanticleers.
King White · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
White is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Chanticleers.
Arkansas State · 3 listed
Baker North · OL Out
Undisclosed
North is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Red Wolves. He will miss the 2026 season.
Devin Spencer · RB Out
Knee
Spencer is dealing with a knee injury and will not take the field for the Red Wolves. He will miss the 2026 season.
Sterling Wiggins · OL Out
Undisclosed
Wiggins is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Red Wolves. He will miss the 2026 season.
Sat, Nov 14 · 1:00 PM ET
East Carolina at Charlotte
Line East Carolina −11.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model East Carolina −13.0 · Edge 0.2
Entry East Carolina −11.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
East Carolina −11.5Model East Carolina −13.9 · Edge 0.4
Beta East Carolina −14.9 · Edge 0.5
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Success rate−13.68 → East Carolina Opp-adjusted defense−5.80 → East Carolina Net PPA (efficiency)+3.96 → Charlotte Opp-adjusted offense−2.85 → East Carolina Explosiveness+2.37 → Charlotte Havoc rate−2.35 → East Carolina Points per opportunity+1.20 → Charlotte Rest advantage−0.52 → East Carolina
Beta
Success rate−12.64 → East Carolina Opp-adjusted defense−4.54 → East Carolina Havoc rate−3.61 → East Carolina Opp-adjusted offense−2.46 → East Carolina Explosiveness+2.30 → Charlotte Net PPA (efficiency)+1.28 → Charlotte Points per opportunity+1.21 → Charlotte Turnover margin+0.61 → Charlotte
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Charlotte (home), left/blue favors East Carolina (away).
Injuries & availability (19 listed)
Charlotte · 9 listed
Kendal Brown · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Brown is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the 49ers.
Jamil Davis · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the 49ers.
Jaylen Doss · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Doss is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the 49ers.
Shelden Golliday · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Golliday is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the 49ers.
Zayden Laing-Taylor · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Laing-Taylor is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the 49ers.
Latrell Sellers · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Sellers is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the 49ers.
Calif Spencer · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Spencer is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the 49ers.
Devon St. Clair · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
St. Clair is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the 49ers.
Jerry Wall III · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Wall III is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the 49ers.
East Carolina · 10 listed
David Coleman Jr. · DB Out
Undisclosed
Coleman Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Pirates.
DeMarius Hines · DB Out
Pectoral
Hines is dealing with a torn pectoral and will not take the field for the Pirates. He is expected to miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Tavius Horne Jr. · DB Out
Undisclosed
Horne Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Pirates. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jaylen Bowden · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Bowden is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Pirates.
Ayden Duncanson · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Duncanson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Pirates.
Dillon Lorick · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Lorick is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Pirates.
Jeremiah Melvin · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Melvin is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Pirates.
Dawson Quarterman · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Quarterman is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Pirates.
Ismael Smith Flores · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Smith Flores is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Pirates.
Brock Spalding · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Spalding is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Pirates.
Sat, Nov 14 · 1:00 PM ET
UAB at Temple
Line Temple −2.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model UAB −0.7 · Edge 0.5
Entry Temple −2.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
UAB +2.5Model Temple −1.5 · Edge 0.2
Beta UAB −0.8 · Edge 0.5
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense−2.75 → UAB Opp-adjusted offense+1.29 → Temple Rest advantage−0.42 → UAB Turnover margin−0.28 → UAB Points per opportunity−0.24 → UAB Net PPA (efficiency)−0.15 → UAB
Beta
Opp-adjusted defense−2.08 → UAB Opp-adjusted offense+1.27 → Temple Turnover margin−0.77 → UAB Conference tier gap−0.29 → UAB Points per opportunity−0.27 → UAB Neutral site+0.11 → Temple
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Temple (home), left/blue favors UAB (away).
Temple: QB1 Ajani Sheppard missed last game; models still rate the team with him.
Injuries & availability (23 listed)
Temple · 17 listed
Ajani Sheppard · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Sheppard is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Peter Clarke · TE Out
Leg
Clarke is dealing with a left leg injury and will not take the field for the Owls. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Kenedy Uzoma · WR Out
Undisclosed
Uzoma is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Owls. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Devontae Ward-Grant · CB Out
Knee
Ward-Grant suffered a torn ACL and will not take the field for the Owls. He will miss the 2026 season.
Tyree Alualu · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Alualu is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Zander Baptiste · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Baptiste is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Kaegan Chambers · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Chambers is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Brandon Enarusai · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Enarusai is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Kevin Hornbeak Jr. · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Hornbeak Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Willy Love · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Love is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Hunter Smith · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Eric Stuart · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Stuart is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Kevin Terry · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Terry is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
John Watkins · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Watkins is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Luke Watson · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Watson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Jett White · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
White is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
De'Carlos Young · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Young is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
UAB · 6 listed
Colby Archie · LB Out
Undisclosed
Archie is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Blazers.
Jaylen Elder · WR Out
Undisclosed
Elder suffered an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Blazers. He is without a timetable for return.
Nigel Tate · DT Out
Achilles
Tate suffered an Achilles injury and will not take the field for the Blazers. He is without a timetable for return.
Antonio Ferguson · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Ferguson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Blazers.
Mykale Hrabowski · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Hrabowski is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Blazers.
Kyrik Mason · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Mason is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Blazers.
Sat, Nov 14 · 2:00 PM ET
Kennesaw State at Sam Houston
Line Kennesaw State −9.0
SAIF
No playAlpha model Kennesaw State −4.6 · Edge 0.7
Entry Kennesaw State −9.0, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Sam Houston +9.0Model Kennesaw State −5.4 · Edge 0.5
Beta Kennesaw State −6.1 · Edge 0.4
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted offense−5.72 → Kennesaw State Success rate−4.60 → Kennesaw State Net PPA (efficiency)+2.24 → Sam Houston Havoc rate−0.96 → Kennesaw State Points per opportunity+0.86 → Sam Houston Opp-adjusted defense−0.75 → Kennesaw State Rest advantage−0.44 → Kennesaw State Explosiveness+0.38 → Sam Houston
Beta
Opp-adjusted offense−5.05 → Kennesaw State Success rate−4.16 → Kennesaw State Havoc rate−1.44 → Kennesaw State Points per opportunity+0.86 → Sam Houston Net PPA (efficiency)+0.71 → Sam Houston Opp-adjusted defense−0.46 → Kennesaw State Explosiveness+0.42 → Sam Houston Conference tier gap−0.29 → Kennesaw State
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Sam Houston (home), left/blue favors Kennesaw State (away).
Kennesaw State: QB1 Rickie Collins listed Questionable.
Injuries & availability (23 listed)
Sam Houston · 13 listed
Kyan Berry-Johnson · WR Out
Undisclosed
Berry-Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bearkats. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Caius Coy · DE Out
Undisclosed
Coy is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bearkats. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Brock Kuhl · TE Out
Undisclosed
Kuhl is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bearkats. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Kamari Maxwell · WR Out
Undisclosed
Maxwell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bearkats. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Brock Stukes · OL Out
Undisclosed
Stukes is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bearkats. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Zo'Maryon Bryan · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Bryan is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Beakats.
Ray Chatham · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Chatham is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Beakats.
MJ Dowdy · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Dowdy is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Beakats.
Carter Kadow · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Kadow is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Beakats.
Ryan Mallory · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Mallory is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Beakats.
Jack Merryman · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Merryman is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Beakats.
Jerrian Parker Jr. · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Parker Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bearkats.
Dravon Wilson · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Wilson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Beakats.
Kennesaw State · 10 listed
Rickie Collins · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Zakir Abdul-Salaam · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Abdul-Salaam is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Zion Booker · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Booker is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Luke Duska · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Duska is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Kaleb Gray · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Gray is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Ja'Lyen Judson · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Judson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Enrico Maghelli · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Maghelli is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Donovan Westmoreland · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Westmoreland is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Aidan Williams · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Tony Williams Jr. · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Williams Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Sat, Nov 14 · 2:00 PM ET
Tulane at Rice
Line Rice −3.0
SAIF
No playAlpha model Rice −1.1 · Edge 0.3
Entry Rice −3.0, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Rice −3.0Model Rice −3.3 · Edge 0.0
Beta Rice −0.9 · Edge 0.3
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Explosiveness−3.74 → Tulane Opp-adjusted defense−3.55 → Tulane Net PPA (efficiency)+1.51 → Rice Opp-adjusted offense+0.68 → Rice Rest advantage−0.44 → Tulane Points per opportunity+0.25 → Rice
Beta
Explosiveness−3.51 → Tulane Opp-adjusted defense−2.73 → Tulane Opp-adjusted offense+0.72 → Rice Net PPA (efficiency)+0.47 → Rice Turnover margin+0.46 → Rice Conference tier gap−0.29 → Tulane
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Rice (home), left/blue favors Tulane (away).
Rice: QB1 Jacurri Brown out 2 straight games (already in team stats).
Injuries & availability (24 listed)
Rice · 10 listed
Michael Amey III · S Out
Undisclosed
Amey III is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Owls. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Colten Cole · TE Out
Undisclosed
Cole is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Owls. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Quinton Jackson · RB Out
Undisclosed
Jackson suffered an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Owls. He will miss the rest of the 2026 season.
Chibby Nwajuaku · DL Out
Undisclosed
Nwajuaku is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Owls. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Tariq Watson · CB Out
Undisclosed
Watson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Owls. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Ian Bothwell · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Bothwell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Ben Grice · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Grice is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Jai Jacobs-Ford · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Jacobs-Ford is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Clay Mitchell · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Mitchell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Justin Powell · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Powell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Tulane · 14 listed
Justin Agu · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Agu is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Green Wave.
Elijah Baker · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Baker is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Green Wave.
Armani Cargo · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Cargo is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Green Wave.
Jordyn Crites · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Crites is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Green Wave.
Kameron Hamilton · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Hamilton is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Green Wave.
William Hudlow · P Questionable
Undisclosed
Hudlow is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Green Wave.
Jamauri McClure · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
McClure is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Green Wave.
Ryan Mickow · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Mickow is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Green Wave.
Garrett Mmahat · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Mmahat is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Green Wave.
Jake Randle · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Randle is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Green Wave.
Chris Rodgers · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Rodgers is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Green Wave.
Riley Rushing · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Rushing is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Green Wave.
Orion Saunders · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Saunders is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Green Wave.
Ty Thompson · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Thompson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Green Wave.
Sat, Nov 14 · 2:00 PM ET
Kansas State at TCU
Line TCU −9.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model TCU −9.1 · Edge 0.1
Entry TCU −9.5, locked Sun 9:37 PM
Gamma · shadow
Kansas State +9.5Model TCU −8.1 · Edge 0.2
Beta TCU −8.0 · Edge 0.2
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense+7.21 → TCU Opp-adjusted offense−3.78 → Kansas State Net PPA (efficiency)−1.13 → Kansas State Havoc rate−0.94 → Kansas State Rest advantage−0.35 → Kansas State Points per opportunity−0.18 → Kansas State
Beta
Opp-adjusted defense+5.96 → TCU Opp-adjusted offense−3.31 → Kansas State Havoc rate−1.41 → Kansas State Net PPA (efficiency)−0.40 → Kansas State Turnover margin+0.31 → TCU Conference tier gap−0.29 → Kansas State
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors TCU (home), left/blue favors Kansas State (away).
Kansas State: QB1 Avery Johnson out 3 straight games (already in team stats).
Injuries & availability (15 listed)
TCU · 8 listed
Braden Bach · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Bach is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Horned Frogs.
Cade Bennett · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Bennett is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Horned Frogs.
Keagan Cunningham · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Cunningham is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Horned Frogs.
Jon Denman · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Denman is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Horned Frogs.
Devondre McGee · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
McGee is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Horned Frogs.
Cooper Reid · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Reid is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Horned Frogs.
Terry Shelton · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Shelton is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Horned Frogs.
Julius Simms · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Simms is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Horned Frogs.
Kansas State · 7 listed
Avery Johnson · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Jacob Knuth · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Knuth is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
John Pastore · OL Out
Undisclosed
Pastore is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Wildcats. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Koy Beasley · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Beasley is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Eli Jackson · DT Questionable
Undisclosed
Jackson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Lawson McGraw · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
McGraw is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Sawyer Schilke · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Schilke is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Sat, Nov 14 · 3:00 PM ET
Tennessee at Texas A&M
Line Tennessee −2.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Tennessee −2.9 · Edge 0.1
Entry Tennessee −2.5, locked Sun 9:37 PM
Gamma · shadow
Texas A&M +2.5Model Tennessee −0.9 · Edge 0.2
Beta Tennessee −3.7 · Edge 0.2
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Explosiveness−3.54 → Tennessee Opp-adjusted offense−2.77 → Tennessee Opp-adjusted defense−2.54 → Tennessee Net PPA (efficiency)+1.97 → Texas A&M Havoc rate−0.82 → Tennessee Points per opportunity+0.45 → Texas A&M Rest advantage−0.40 → Tennessee Turnover margin+0.23 → Texas A&M
Beta
Explosiveness−3.31 → Tennessee Opp-adjusted offense−2.39 → Tennessee Opp-adjusted defense−1.91 → Tennessee Havoc rate−1.22 → Tennessee Turnover margin+0.64 → Texas A&M Net PPA (efficiency)+0.62 → Texas A&M Points per opportunity+0.44 → Texas A&M Conference tier gap−0.29 → Tennessee
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Texas A&M (home), left/blue favors Tennessee (away).
Injuries & availability (14 listed)
Texas A&M · 6 listed
Terry Bussey · WR Out
Lower Body
Bussey suffered a lower-body injury and will not take the field for the Aggies. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Blake Ivy · OL Out
Undisclosed
Ivy is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Aggies. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Tiger Riden Jr. · RB Out
Undisclosed
Riden Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Aggies. He will miss the 2026 season.
Madden Williams · WR Out
Undisclosed
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Aggies. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Ashton Bethel-Roman · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Bethel-Roman is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aggies.
Kelshaun Johnson · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aggies
Tennessee · 8 listed
Ethan Davis · TE Out
Knee
Davis suffered a torn ACL and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Joakim Dodson · WR Out
Undisclosed
Dodson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Volunteers. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Edrees Farooq · DB Out
Knee
Farooq suffered a torn patellar tendon and will not take the field for the Volunteers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jaedon Harmon · LB Out
Knee
Harmon suffered a torn right ACL and will not take the field for the Volunteers. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Wendell Moe Jr. · OL Out
Undisclosed
Moe is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Volunteers. He is expected to miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jadais Richard · DB Out
Leg
Richard suffered a leg injury and will not take the field for the Volunteers. He will miss the 2026 season.
DaSaahn Brame · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Brame is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Volunteers.
Dylan Lewis · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Lewis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Volunteers.
Sat, Nov 14 · 3:00 PM ET
Florida International at Delaware
Line Delaware −5.0
SAIF
No playAlpha model Delaware −2.1 · Edge 0.4
Entry Delaware −5.0, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Florida International +5.0Model Delaware −0.3 · Edge 0.7
Beta Delaware −1.8 · Edge 0.5
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense−5.46 → Florida International Opp-adjusted offense+4.84 → Delaware Explosiveness−1.06 → Florida International Points per opportunity−0.44 → Florida International Success rate+0.44 → Delaware Rest advantage−0.41 → Florida International Havoc rate−0.18 → Florida International Turnover margin−0.16 → Florida International
Beta
Opp-adjusted offense+4.47 → Delaware Opp-adjusted defense−4.27 → Florida International Explosiveness−0.96 → Florida International Success rate+0.55 → Delaware Points per opportunity−0.47 → Florida International Turnover margin−0.46 → Florida International Conference tier gap−0.29 → Florida International Havoc rate−0.22 → Florida International
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Delaware (home), left/blue favors Florida International (away).
Injuries & availability (12 listed)
Delaware · 3 listed
Noah Frazier · DT Out
Undisclosed
Frazier is battling an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Blue Hens. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Colin Gallagher · LB Out
Undisclosed
Gallagher is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Fightin' Blue Hens. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Greg Spiller · RB Out
Undisclosed
Spiller is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Fightin' Blue Hens. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Florida International · 9 listed
Dante Anderson · DL Out
Undisclosed
Anderson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Panthers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Oscar Colon · OL Out
Undisclosed
Colon is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will miss the remainder of the 2026-2027 season.
Richard Nwaukoni · DL Out
Undisclosed
Nwaukoni is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Panthers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Ayden Passley · TE Out
Lower Leg
Passley is dealing with a lower leg fracture and will not take the field for the Panthers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Spencer Webb · OL Out
Undisclosed
Webb is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Panthers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Greg Gaines III · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Gaines is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Panthers.
Kiyante Ingram · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Ingram is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Panthers.
Wesley Miller · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Miller is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Panthers.
Noah Sidan · K Questionable
Undisclosed
Sidan is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Panthers.
Sat, Nov 14 · 3:00 PM ET
New Mexico State at Missouri State
Line Missouri State −1.5 (was Missouri State −2.5)
SAIF
No playAlpha model New Mexico State −0.3 · Edge 0.4
Entry Missouri State −2.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM · now Missouri State −1.5
Gamma · shadow
New Mexico State +1.5Model New Mexico State −2.8 · Edge 0.6
Beta New Mexico State −0.8 · Edge 0.3
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense−3.00 → New Mexico State Success rate−2.29 → New Mexico State Opp-adjusted offense+1.03 → Missouri State Havoc rate−0.43 → New Mexico State Rest advantage−0.40 → New Mexico State Net PPA (efficiency)+0.37 → Missouri State Explosiveness+0.30 → Missouri State Points per opportunity−0.20 → New Mexico State
Beta
Opp-adjusted defense−2.28 → New Mexico State Success rate−2.00 → New Mexico State Opp-adjusted offense+1.03 → Missouri State Havoc rate−0.61 → New Mexico State Turnover margin−0.35 → New Mexico State Explosiveness+0.33 → Missouri State Conference tier gap−0.29 → New Mexico State Points per opportunity−0.23 → New Mexico State
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Missouri State (home), left/blue favors New Mexico State (away).
Injuries & availability (17 listed)
Missouri State · 7 listed
Dylan Dixson · S Out
Undisclosed
Dixson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bears. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Josh Joyner · RB Out
Undisclosed
Joyner is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bears. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Kellen Lindstrom · DE Out
Undisclosed
Lindstrom is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bears. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Malachi Madison · DL Out
Undisclosed
Madison is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bears. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Hieko Malone · LB Out
Undisclosed
Malone is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bears. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Sean Reese · CB Out
Undisclosed
Reese is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bears. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Markell Chapman · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Chapman is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bears.
New Mexico State · 10 listed
Mark Chapman · OL Out
Undisclosed
Chapman is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Aggies. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Bernock Iya · S Out
Liver
Iya is dealing with a lacerated liver and will not take the field for the Aggies. He is expected to miss the entire 2026-27 season.
Josiah Jackson · DL Out
Undisclosed
Jackson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Aggies. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jeremiah Sandiford · DL Out
Undisclosed
Sandiford is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Aggies. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Tayden Barnes · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Barnes is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aggies.
TK King · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
King is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aggies.
Ray Lotten · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Lotten is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aggies.
Jaylen Stokes · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Stokes is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the court for the Aggies.
Josiah Thomas · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Thomas is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aggies.
Ilya Uvaydov · K Questionable
Undisclosed
Uvaydov is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aggies.
Sat, Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Boston College at Notre Dame
Line Notre Dame −29.5 (was Notre Dame −30.5)
SAIF
No playAlpha model Notre Dame −24.9 · Edge 0.8
Entry Notre Dame −30.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM · now Notre Dame −29.5
Gamma · shadow
Boston College +29.5Model Notre Dame −26.6 · Edge 0.4
Beta Notre Dame −25.3 · Edge 0.6
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted offense+10.01 → Notre Dame Success rate+7.51 → Notre Dame Opp-adjusted defense+6.65 → Notre Dame Net PPA (efficiency)−4.94 → Boston College Havoc rate+2.49 → Notre Dame Points per opportunity−1.55 → Boston College Explosiveness+1.25 → Notre Dame Turnover margin−0.53 → Boston College
Beta
Opp-adjusted offense+9.13 → Notre Dame Success rate+7.16 → Notre Dame Opp-adjusted defense+5.50 → Notre Dame Havoc rate+3.95 → Notre Dame Net PPA (efficiency)−1.65 → Boston College Points per opportunity−1.60 → Boston College Turnover margin−1.50 → Boston College Explosiveness+1.24 → Notre Dame
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Notre Dame (home), left/blue favors Boston College (away).
Injuries & availability (17 listed)
Notre Dame · 8 listed
Matty Augustine · OL Out
Foot
Augustine is dealing with a right foot injury and will not take the field for the Fighting Irish. He will miss the start of the 2026 season.
Christopher Burgess Jr. · DL Out
Leg
Burgess Jr. is recovering from a left tibia stress fracture and will not take the field for the Fighting Irish. He will miss the start of the 2026 season.
Charles Jagusah · OL Out
Arm
Jagusah is dealing with an injury to his humerus and will not take the field for the Fighting Irish. He will miss the start of the 2026 season.
Quincy Porter · WR Out
Knee
Porter is dealing with a knee injury and will not take the field for the Fighting Irish. He will miss the rest of the 2026 season.
Chaz Smith · CB Out
Wrist
Smith is dealing with a right wrist injury and will not take the field for the Fighting Irish. He will miss the start of the 2026 season.
Francis Brewu · DL Questionable
Knee
Brewu is dealing with a knee injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Fighting Irish.
DJ McKinney · CB Questionable
Ankle
McKinney is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Fighting Irish.
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Viliamu-Asa is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Fighting Irish.
Boston College · 9 listed
Evan Dickens · RB Out
Undisclosed
Dickens is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Sedric Addison · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Addison is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Eagles.
Michael Crounse · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Crounse is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Eagles.
Isaiah Farris · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Farris is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Eagles.
Trevon Humphrey · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Humphrey is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Eagles.
Amir Johnson · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the court for the Eagles.
Justin Medlock · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Medlock is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Eagles.
Onye Nwosisi · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Nwosisi is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Eagles.
Reed Swanson · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Swanson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Eagles.
Sat, Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Middle Tennessee at Liberty
Line Liberty −21.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Liberty −25.1 · Edge 0.5
Entry Liberty −21.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Liberty −21.5Model Liberty −28.5 · Edge 1.0
Beta Liberty −24.6 · Edge 0.5
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Success rate+11.19 → Liberty Opp-adjusted defense+10.17 → Liberty Opp-adjusted offense+4.95 → Liberty Net PPA (efficiency)−3.24 → Middle Tennessee Explosiveness−2.20 → Middle Tennessee Havoc rate+1.33 → Liberty Points per opportunity−1.11 → Middle Tennessee Rest advantage−0.44 → Middle Tennessee
Beta
Success rate+10.59 → Liberty Opp-adjusted defense+8.34 → Liberty Opp-adjusted offense+4.56 → Liberty Havoc rate+2.15 → Liberty Explosiveness−2.05 → Middle Tennessee Points per opportunity−1.16 → Middle Tennessee Net PPA (efficiency)−1.09 → Middle Tennessee Conference tier gap−0.29 → Middle Tennessee
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Liberty (home), left/blue favors Middle Tennessee (away).
Injuries & availability (16 listed)
Liberty · 12 listed
Erwil Anthony Jr. · OL Out
Undisclosed
Anthony Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Flames. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Kennedi Bailey · CB Out
Undisclosed
Bailey is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Flames. He is expected to miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Tyler Black · K Out
Lower Body
Black is dealing with a lower body injury and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Aaron Hester · DL Out
Undisclosed
Hester is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Flames. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Justin Marshall · RB Out
Undisclosed
Marshall is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Flames. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Austin Anderson · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Anderson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Flames.
Samuel Cohen · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Cohen is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the flames.
Kyle Ferm · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Ferm is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mustangs.
Jiquavious Marshall · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Marshall is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Flames.
Ronald Moore Jr. · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Moore Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the flames.
Xavier Reid · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Reid is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the flames.
Cam Wood · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Wood is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the flames.
Middle Tennessee · 4 listed
Landon Collins · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Blue Raiders.
Tayvion Galloway · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Galloway is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Blue Raiders,
Zaidyn Moore · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Moore is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Blue Raiders.
Micah Smith · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Blue Raiders.
Sat, Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Nevada at Northern Illinois
Line Nevada −7.0 (was Nevada −7.5)
SAIF
No playAlpha model Nevada −10.6 · Edge 0.5
Entry Nevada −7.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM · now Nevada −7.0
Gamma · shadow
Northern Illinois +7.0Model Nevada −5.1 · Edge 0.3
Beta Nevada −11.0 · Edge 0.6
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense−6.74 → Nevada Success rate−4.62 → Nevada Opp-adjusted offense−3.07 → Nevada Net PPA (efficiency)+1.35 → Northern Illinois Explosiveness−0.95 → Nevada Points per opportunity+0.63 → Northern Illinois Rest advantage−0.51 → Nevada
Beta
Opp-adjusted defense−5.30 → Nevada Success rate−4.17 → Nevada Opp-adjusted offense−2.67 → Nevada Explosiveness−0.85 → Nevada Turnover margin−0.84 → Nevada Points per opportunity+0.62 → Northern Illinois Net PPA (efficiency)+0.42 → Northern Illinois
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Northern Illinois (home), left/blue favors Nevada (away).
Injuries & availability (27 listed)
Northern Illinois · 19 listed
Bryshawn Brown · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Brown is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Huskies.
Deacon King · LB Out
Undisclosed
King is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Huskies. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Rickey Taylor Jr. · WR Out
Undisclosed
Taylor Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Huskies. He is expected to miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Cam Thompson · WR Out
Undisclosed
Thompson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Huskies. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
James Bradley · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Bradley is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Huskies.
Tyler Chambers · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Chambers is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Huskies.
Kellen Gamble · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Gamble is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Huskies.
Jermaine Green Jr. · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Green Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Huskies.
Jvon Hatcher · DT Questionable
Undisclosed
Hatcher is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Huskies.
JT King · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
King is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Huskies.
Cole Latimer · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Latimer is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Huskies.
Dev'ion Reynolds · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Reynolds is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Huskies.
Terry Robinson · DT Questionable
Undisclosed
Robinson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Huskies.
Luke Skartvedt · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Skartvedt is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Huskies.
Mathias Smith-Davis · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Smith-Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Huskies.
Darrius Summers III · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Summers III is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Huskies.
Jay'shon Thomas · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Thomas is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Huskies.
Jacob Welch · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Welch is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Huskies.
Triston White · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
White is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Huskies.
Nevada · 8 listed
Carter Jones · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Jones is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wolf Pack.
DJ Asiasi · TE Out
Undisclosed
Asiasi is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season for the Wolf Pack.
Jake Silverman · LB Out
Undisclosed
Silverman is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Wolf Pack. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Bryson Snelling · DB Out
Undisclosed
Snelling suffered an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Wolf Pack. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Cooper Wilson · DB Out
Undisclosed
Wilson suffered an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Wolf Pack. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Elias Justice · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Justice is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wolf Pack.
Colson Kermode · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Kermode is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wolf Pack.
Joe McFadden · K Questionable
Undisclosed
McFadden is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wolf Pack.
Sat, Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Michigan at Oregon
Line Oregon −11.0 (was Oregon −10.5)
SAIF
No playAlpha model Oregon −8.4 · Edge 0.3
Entry Oregon −10.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM · now Oregon −11.0
Gamma · shadow
Michigan +11.0Model Oregon −5.4 · Edge 0.8
Beta Oregon −7.7 · Edge 0.5
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted offense+5.53 → Oregon Opp-adjusted defense−1.60 → Michigan Explosiveness+0.70 → Oregon Rest advantage−0.40 → Michigan Net PPA (efficiency)−0.39 → Michigan Turnover margin−0.21 → Michigan Success rate+0.19 → Oregon
Beta
Opp-adjusted offense+5.09 → Oregon Opp-adjusted defense−1.15 → Michigan Explosiveness+0.72 → Oregon Turnover margin−0.59 → Michigan Success rate+0.31 → Oregon Conference tier gap−0.29 → Michigan Net PPA (efficiency)−0.15 → Michigan
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Oregon (home), left/blue favors Michigan (away).
Michigan: QB1 Bryce Underwood out 3 straight games (already in team stats).
Injuries & availability (17 listed)
Oregon · 9 listed
Dante Moore · QB Out
Concussion
Moore suffered a concussion and will not take the field for the Ducks. He is expected to miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Trent Ferguson · OL Out
Undisclosed
Ferguson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Ducks. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Aaron Flowers · DB Out
Shoulder
Flowers underwent shoulder surgery and will not take the field for the Ducks. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jordon Davison · RB Questionable
Leg
Davison is dealing with a leg injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Ducks.
Messiah Hampton · WR Questionable
Personal
Hampton is dealing with legal issues and is uncertain to take the field for the Ducks.
Dave Iuli · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Iuli is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Ducks.
Matthew Johnson · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Ducks.
Andrew Olesh · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Olesh is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Ducks.
Brayden Platt · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Platt is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Ducks.
Michigan · 8 listed
Ace Hamilton · OL Out
Undisclosed
Hamilton is battling an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Wolverines. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Braydon Alford · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Alford is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wolverines.
Kendrick Bell · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Bell is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wolverines.
Shamari Earls · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Earls is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wolverines.
Hogan Hansen · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Hansen is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wolverines.
Julius Holly · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Holly is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wolverines.
Micah Ka'apana · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Ka'apana is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wolverines.
Andrew Sprague · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Sprague is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wolverines.
Sat, Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
USC at Indiana
Line Indiana −7.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Indiana −8.1 · Edge 0.1
Entry Indiana −7.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Indiana −7.5Model Indiana −10.4 · Edge 0.4
Beta Indiana −9.0 · Edge 0.2
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense+5.13 → Indiana Success rate+4.66 → Indiana Opp-adjusted offense−2.92 → USC Net PPA (efficiency)−2.54 → USC Havoc rate+1.71 → Indiana Points per opportunity−0.84 → USC Rest advantage−0.40 → USC
Beta
Success rate+4.49 → Indiana Opp-adjusted defense+4.28 → Indiana Havoc rate+2.74 → Indiana Opp-adjusted offense−2.53 → USC Points per opportunity−0.88 → USC Net PPA (efficiency)−0.86 → USC Turnover margin−0.65 → USC
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Indiana (home), left/blue favors USC (away).
Injuries & availability (10 listed)
Indiana · 2 listed
Davion Chandler · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Chandler is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hoosiers.
Kellan Wyatt · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Wyatt is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hoosiers.
USC · 8 listed
Kilian O'Connor · OL Out
Leg
O'Connor suffered a broken leg and will not take the field for the Trojans. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Corey Simms · WR Out
Knee
Simms is dealing with a knee injury and will not take the field for the Trojans. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Shahn Alston · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Alston is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Trojans.
Terrell Anderson · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Anderson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Trojans.
Taylor Johnson · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Trojans.
Roman Marchetti · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Marchetti is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Trojans.
Kendarius Reddick · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Reddick is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Trojans.
Hayden Treter · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Treter is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Trojans.
Sat, Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Georgia Southern at Georgia State
Line Georgia Southern −5.5
SAIF
Georgia State +5.5Ticket: DraftKings (-110)
Alpha model Georgia State −2.9 · Edge 1.3
Entry Georgia Southern −5.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Georgia State +5.5Model Georgia State −0.7 · Edge 0.9
Beta Georgia State −3.2 · Edge 1.3
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense−3.56 → Georgia Southern Opp-adjusted offense+2.03 → Georgia State Success rate−0.68 → Georgia Southern Net PPA (efficiency)+0.66 → Georgia State Points per opportunity+0.42 → Georgia State Rest advantage−0.41 → Georgia Southern Turnover margin+0.33 → Georgia State Explosiveness−0.23 → Georgia Southern
Beta
Opp-adjusted defense−2.73 → Georgia Southern Opp-adjusted offense+1.93 → Georgia State Turnover margin+0.93 → Georgia State Success rate−0.50 → Georgia Southern Points per opportunity+0.41 → Georgia State Conference tier gap−0.29 → Georgia Southern Net PPA (efficiency)+0.19 → Georgia State Explosiveness−0.16 → Georgia Southern
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Georgia State (home), left/blue favors Georgia Southern (away).
Georgia State: QB1 Cameran Brown out 2 straight games (already in team stats).
Injuries & availability (15 listed)
Georgia State · 8 listed
Cameran Brown · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Brown is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Panthers.
Jordan Brown · OL Out
Undisclosed
Brown is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Panthers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Owen Dupree · WR Out
Undisclosed
Dupree is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Panthers.
Toby Bolton · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Bolton is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Panthers.
Ryan Green · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Green is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Panthers.
Kelze Howard · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Howard is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Panthers.
Derrick Maxey III · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Maxey III is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Panthers.
Jamari Miller · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Miller is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Panthers.
Georgia Southern · 7 listed
Terrance Gibbs · RB Out
Undisclosed
Myles Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Eagles. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Ashton Hollins · WR Out
Undisclosed
Hollins is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Rashon Myles Jr. · LB Out
Undisclosed
Myles Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
King Phillips · WR Out
Undisclosed
Phillips is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Eagles. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Colin Alexander · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Alexander is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Eagles.
Jacob Hammonds · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Hammonds is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Eagles.
Carlo Thompson · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Thompson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Eagles.
Sat, Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Baylor at BYU
Line BYU −7.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model BYU −2.6 · Edge 0.7
Entry BYU −7.5, locked Sun 9:37 PM
Gamma · shadow
Baylor +7.5Model BYU −4.6 · Edge 0.4
Beta BYU −3.0 · Edge 0.7
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted offense−2.06 → Baylor Explosiveness−1.66 → Baylor Rest advantage−0.42 → Baylor Net PPA (efficiency)−0.36 → Baylor Opp-adjusted defense−0.26 → Baylor Points per opportunity−0.19 → Baylor
Beta
Opp-adjusted offense−1.75 → Baylor Explosiveness−1.53 → Baylor Conference tier gap−0.29 → Baylor Points per opportunity−0.21 → Baylor Net PPA (efficiency)−0.14 → Baylor
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors BYU (home), left/blue favors Baylor (away).
Injuries & availability (13 listed)
BYU · 8 listed
Siosefa Brown · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Brown is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cougars.
Joseph Douglas · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Douglas is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cougars.
Evan Johnson · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cougars.
Jonathan Kabeya · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Kabeya is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cougars.
Roger Saleapaga II · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Saleapaga II is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cougars.
Seth Shigg · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Shigg is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cougars.
Vincent Tautua · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Tautua is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cougars.
Pierson Watson · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Watson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cougars.
Baylor · 5 listed
Jacob Redding · S Out
Knee
Redding is dealing with a torn ACL and will not take the field for the Bears. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Devonte Tezino · DL Out
Ankle
Tezino underwent surgery for a broken ankle and will not take the field for the Bears. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Ashton Jones · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Jones is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bears.
Jamarion Richardson · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Richardson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bears.
Cayden Tone · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Tone is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bears.
Sat, Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Missouri at Georgia
Line Georgia −14.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Georgia −14.2 · Edge 0.0
Entry Georgia −14.5, locked Sun 9:37 PM
Gamma · shadow
Georgia −14.5Model Georgia −17.5 · Edge 0.4
Beta Georgia −13.4 · Edge 0.2
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Success rate+5.69 → Georgia Opp-adjusted offense+5.32 → Georgia Opp-adjusted defense+2.16 → Georgia Net PPA (efficiency)−1.46 → Missouri Points per opportunity−1.08 → Missouri Rest advantage−0.46 → Missouri Explosiveness−0.38 → Missouri Neutral site+0.10 → Georgia
Beta
Success rate+5.45 → Georgia Opp-adjusted offense+4.90 → Georgia Opp-adjusted defense+1.88 → Georgia Points per opportunity−1.13 → Missouri Net PPA (efficiency)−0.51 → Missouri Explosiveness−0.31 → Missouri Conference tier gap−0.29 → Missouri Neutral site+0.11 → Georgia
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Georgia (home), left/blue favors Missouri (away).
Injuries & availability (9 listed)
Georgia · 5 listed
Dante Dowdell · RB Out
Undisclosed
Dowdell is recovering from injuries suffered during an ATV accident and will not take the field for the Bulldogs. He is without a timetable for return.
Amaris Williams · LB Out
Knee
Williams suffered a torn ACL and will not take the field for the Bulldogs. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Tyriq Green · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Green is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulldogs.
Joseph Jonah-Ajonye · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Jonah-Ajonye is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulldogs.
AJ Kruah · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Kruah is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulldogs.
Missouri · 4 listed
DJ Jones · OL Out
Chest
Jones is dealing with a heart transplant and will not take the field for the Tigers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Josh Atkins · OL Questionable
Leg
Atkins is dealing with a leg injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers.
Malae Fonoti · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Fonoti is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers.
Gavin Hoffman · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Hoffman is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers.
Sat, Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
California at Virginia
Line Virginia −12.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Virginia −11.3 · Edge 0.2
Entry Virginia −12.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
California +12.5Model Virginia −11.7 · Edge 0.1
Beta Virginia −12.0 · Edge 0.1
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense+4.46 → Virginia Success rate+3.15 → Virginia Net PPA (efficiency)−2.41 → California Havoc rate+1.53 → Virginia Explosiveness+0.78 → Virginia Points per opportunity−0.53 → California Rest advantage−0.44 → California Opp-adjusted offense+0.42 → Virginia
Beta
Opp-adjusted defense+3.74 → Virginia Success rate+3.09 → Virginia Havoc rate+2.45 → Virginia Net PPA (efficiency)−0.82 → California Explosiveness+0.79 → Virginia Points per opportunity−0.56 → California Opp-adjusted offense+0.49 → Virginia Turnover margin−0.30 → California
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Virginia (home), left/blue favors California (away).
Injuries & availability (30 listed)
Virginia · 24 listed
Rico Flores Jr. · WR Out
Knee
Flores Jr. is dealing with a knee injury and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Keke Adams · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Adams is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Omillio Agard · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Agard is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Devon Baxter · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Baxter is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Corey Costner · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Costner is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Kameron Courtney · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Courtney is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Alex Dunn · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Dunn is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Grant Ellinger · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Costner is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Tim Hamann · K Questionable
Undisclosed
Hamann is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Jason Hammond · DT Questionable
Undisclosed
Hammond is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Caleb Hardy · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Hardy is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Noah Hartsoe · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Hartsoe is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Brandyn Hillman · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Hillman is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Jekail Middlebrook · RB Questionable
Knee
Middlebrook is dealing with a sprained MCL and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Ethan Minter · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Minter is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Chase Morrison · DT Questionable
Undisclosed
Morrison is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Isaiah Reese · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Reese is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Bull Richardson · DT Questionable
Undisclosed
Richardson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Tyler Simmons · DT Questionable
Undisclosed
Simmons is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Jack Stevens · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Stevens is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Noah Vaughn · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Vaughn is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Triston Ward · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Ward is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Jae’Oyn Williams · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
Justin Zames · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Zames is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cavaliers.
California · 6 listed
Nate Burrell · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Burrell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Bears.
Mark Hamper · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Hamper is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Bears.
Jordan King · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
King is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Bears.
JD McKinley · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
McKinley is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Bears.
Dorian Thomas · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Thomas is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Bears.
Carter Vargas · RB Questionable
Leg
Vargas is dealing with a leg injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Bears.
Sat, Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Arizona State at UCF
Line UCF −3.0
SAIF
No playAlpha model UCF −5.0 · Edge 0.3
Entry UCF −3.0, locked Sun 9:37 PM
Gamma · shadow
Arizona State +3.0Model UCF −1.9 · Edge 0.2
Beta UCF −3.7 · Edge 0.1
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Success rate−1.83 → Arizona State Opp-adjusted defense+1.28 → UCF Opp-adjusted offense+1.04 → UCF Havoc rate−0.59 → Arizona State Rest advantage−0.40 → Arizona State Points per opportunity−0.18 → Arizona State Turnover margin−0.13 → Arizona State
Beta
Success rate−1.57 → Arizona State Opp-adjusted defense+1.18 → UCF Opp-adjusted offense+1.04 → UCF Havoc rate−0.86 → Arizona State Turnover margin−0.36 → Arizona State Conference tier gap−0.29 → Arizona State Points per opportunity−0.20 → Arizona State
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors UCF (home), left/blue favors Arizona State (away).
UCF: QB1 Keyone Jenkins missed last game; models still rate the team with him.
Arizona State: QB1 Cutter Boley out 2 straight games (already in team stats).
Injuries & availability (18 listed)
UCF · 8 listed
Keyone Jenkins · QB Questionable
Ankle
Jenkins is dealing with an ankle injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Knights.
DJ Bell · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Bell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Knights.
Lewis Carter · LB Questionable
Lower Body
Carter is dealing with a lower-body injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Knights.
Tyler Gibson · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Gibson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Knights.
Demari Henderson · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Henderson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Knights.
Kahmel Johnson · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Knights.
Jacob Maiava · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Maiava is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Knights.
Duke Watson · RB Questionable
Foot
Watson is dealing with a foot injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Knights.
Arizona State · 10 listed
Khamari Anderson · TE Out
Undisclosed
Anderson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Sun Devils. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Rodney Bimage Jr. · DB Out
Leg
Bimage Jr. is dealing with a left leg injury and will not take the field for the Sun Devils. He is expected to miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Zyrus Fiaseu · LB Out
Knee
Fiaseu is dealing with a knee injury and will not take the field for the Sun Devils. He will miss the 2026 season.
MyKeil Gardner · DL Out
Achilles
Gardner suffered a ruptured Achilles tendon and will not take the field for the Sun Devils. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Nigel Pringle · DB Out
Undisclosed
Pringle is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Sun Devils. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Lyrik Rawls · DB Out
Leg
Rawls is dealing with a leg injury and will not take the field for the Sun Devils. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jason Brown Jr. · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Brown Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Sun Devils.
Harry Hassmann · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Hassmann is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Sun Devils.
Wade Helton · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Helton is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Sun Devils.
Uriah Neloms · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Neloms is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Sun Devils.
Sat, Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky
Line Jacksonville State −7.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Jacksonville State −11.4 · Edge 0.6
Entry Jacksonville State −7.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Jacksonville State −7.5Model Jacksonville State −8.6 · Edge 0.2
Beta Jacksonville State −11.1 · Edge 0.5
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense−7.43 → Jacksonville State Success rate−4.12 → Jacksonville State Opp-adjusted offense−3.46 → Jacksonville State Explosiveness−2.63 → Jacksonville State Net PPA (efficiency)+2.22 → Western Kentucky Havoc rate−0.47 → Jacksonville State Rest advantage−0.40 → Jacksonville State Points per opportunity+0.33 → Western Kentucky
Beta
Opp-adjusted defense−5.85 → Jacksonville State Success rate−3.71 → Jacksonville State Opp-adjusted offense−3.02 → Jacksonville State Explosiveness−2.45 → Jacksonville State Net PPA (efficiency)+0.70 → Western Kentucky Havoc rate−0.67 → Jacksonville State Turnover margin+0.37 → Western Kentucky Points per opportunity+0.32 → Western Kentucky
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Western Kentucky (home), left/blue favors Jacksonville State (away).
Injuries & availability (15 listed)
Western Kentucky · 5 listed
Sincere Baines · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Baines is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hilltoppers.
Nathan Gonzales · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Gonzales is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hilltoppers.
Nigel Johnson · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hilltoppers.
Zach Smith · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hilltoppers.
Zayden Walters · DT Questionable
Undisclosed
Walters is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hilltoppers.
Jacksonville State · 10 listed
Franklin Baret Jr. · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Baret Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Gamecocks.
Lucas Farrington · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Farrington is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Gamecocks.
Gabe Glover · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Glover is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Gamecocks.
Caleb Holmes · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Holmes is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Gamecocks.
Nabi Hoyt · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Hoyt is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Gamecocks.
Cedric Kouemi · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Kouemi is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Gamecocks.
Walker O'Steen · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
O'Steen is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Gamecocks.
RJ Rainer · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Rainer is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Gamecocks.
Mac Sanders · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Sanders is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Gamecocks.
Landon Watkins · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Watkins is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Gamecocks.
Sat, Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Florida Atlantic at Tulsa
Line Tulsa −5.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Tulsa −6.4 · Edge 0.1
Entry Tulsa −5.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Tulsa −5.5Model Tulsa −9.6 · Edge 0.6
Beta Tulsa −5.7 · Edge 0.0
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense+6.18 → Tulsa Opp-adjusted offense−2.85 → Florida Atlantic Explosiveness+2.22 → Tulsa Net PPA (efficiency)−2.13 → Florida Atlantic Points per opportunity−0.68 → Florida Atlantic Rest advantage−0.62 → Florida Atlantic Turnover margin−0.29 → Florida Atlantic Neutral site+0.10 → Tulsa
Beta
Opp-adjusted defense+5.13 → Tulsa Opp-adjusted offense−2.46 → Florida Atlantic Explosiveness+2.16 → Tulsa Turnover margin−0.82 → Florida Atlantic Net PPA (efficiency)−0.72 → Florida Atlantic Points per opportunity−0.72 → Florida Atlantic Rest advantage−0.37 → Florida Atlantic Conference tier gap−0.29 → Florida Atlantic
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Tulsa (home), left/blue favors Florida Atlantic (away).
Injuries & availability (19 listed)
Tulsa · 8 listed
Raymir Coney · LB Out
Undisclosed
Coney Turner is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Golden Hurricane. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Elijah Green · CB Out
Undisclosed
Green is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Golden Hurricane. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
C.J. Turner · LB Out
Undisclosed
Turner is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Golden Hurricane. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
William Alexander · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Alexander is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Hurricane.
Cam East · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
East is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Hurricane.
Hunter Erb · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Erb is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Hurricane.
Xavier Green · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Green is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Hurricane.
Elijah Wilson · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Wilson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Hurricane.
Florida Atlantic · 11 listed
Peter Cannon · TE Out
Undisclosed
Cannon is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Owls.
Landon Rapkiewicz · OL Out
Undisclosed
Rapkiewicz is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Owls.
Owen Cheatham · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Cheatham is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Lebron Edmond · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Edmond is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Nate Fischer · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Fischer is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
RJ Garcia II · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Garcia II is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
AJ Johnson · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Brooks Johnson · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Ja'Kavion Nonar · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Nonar is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Chris Tooley III · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Tooley III is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Marcus Vinson · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Vinson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Owls.
Sat, Nov 14 · 4:00 PM ET
Fresno State at Texas State
Line Texas State −9.5 (was Texas State −8.5)
SAIF
No playAlpha model Texas State −6.5 · Edge 0.3
Entry Texas State −8.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM · now Texas State −9.5
Gamma · shadow
Fresno State +9.5Model Texas State −8.1 · Edge 0.2
Beta Texas State −7.7 · Edge 0.3
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense−5.49 → Fresno State Success rate+5.40 → Texas State Opp-adjusted offense+4.11 → Texas State Explosiveness−1.80 → Fresno State Net PPA (efficiency)−0.78 → Fresno State Points per opportunity+0.61 → Texas State Rest advantage−0.42 → Fresno State Turnover margin+0.39 → Texas State
Beta
Success rate+5.19 → Texas State Opp-adjusted defense−4.29 → Fresno State Opp-adjusted offense+3.81 → Texas State Explosiveness−1.66 → Fresno State Turnover margin+1.10 → Texas State Points per opportunity+0.60 → Texas State Conference tier gap−0.29 → Fresno State Net PPA (efficiency)−0.28 → Fresno State
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Texas State (home), left/blue favors Fresno State (away).
Injuries & availability (15 listed)
Texas State · 6 listed
Mekhi Buchanan · DL Out
Undisclosed
Buchanan is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bobcats. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Ayden Jones · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Ayden is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bobcats.
Jayden Lawton · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Lawton is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bobcats.
Lincoln Petitjean · LS Questionable
Undisclosed
Petitjean is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bobcats.
Joshua Selmes · P Questionable
Undisclosed
Selmes is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bobcats.
Cole Snodgrass · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Snodgrass is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bobcats.
Fresno State · 9 listed
Edward Fonua · OL Out
Undisclosed
Fonua is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bulldogs. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Brandon Ramirez · RB Out
Undisclosed
Ramirez is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bulldogs. He will miss the 2026 season.
Ryan Wilson · DB Out
Leg
Wilson suffered a lower leg injury and will not take the field for the Bulldogs. He is expected to miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Niko Baumgartner · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Baumgartner is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulldogs.
Sione Noa · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Noa is dealing with an undisclosed injury and in uncertain to take the field for the Bulldogs.
Gino Quinones · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Quinones is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulldogs.
Ethan Rossetti · LS Questionable
Undisclosed
Rossetti is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulldogs.
Jairus Satele · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Satele is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulldogs.
Noah Yeh · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Yeh is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulldogs.
Sat, Nov 14 · 4:15 PM ET
Ole Miss at Oklahoma
Line Ole Miss −2.0 (was Ole Miss −1.5)
SAIF
No playAlpha model Ole Miss −1.1 · Edge 0.1
Entry Ole Miss −1.5, locked Sun 9:37 PM · now Ole Miss −2.0
Gamma · shadow
Oklahoma +2.0Model Ole Miss −0.7 · Edge 0.2
Beta Ole Miss −1.4 · Edge 0.1
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted offense−6.65 → Ole Miss Opp-adjusted defense+3.25 → Oklahoma Success rate−1.29 → Ole Miss Explosiveness−0.96 → Ole Miss Rest advantage−0.42 → Ole Miss Points per opportunity+0.35 → Oklahoma Net PPA (efficiency)+0.20 → Oklahoma Neutral site+0.10 → Oklahoma
Beta
Opp-adjusted offense−5.89 → Ole Miss Opp-adjusted defense+2.76 → Oklahoma Success rate−1.07 → Ole Miss Explosiveness−0.86 → Ole Miss Points per opportunity+0.34 → Oklahoma Conference tier gap−0.29 → Ole Miss Neutral site+0.11 → Oklahoma Turnover margin+0.09 → Oklahoma
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Oklahoma (home), left/blue favors Ole Miss (away).
Injuries & availability (17 listed)
Oklahoma · 8 listed
Trell Harris · WR Out
Back
Harris is dealing with a back injury and will not take the field for the Sooners. He is expected to miss several weeks.
Dakoda Fields · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Fields is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Sooners.
Ryan Fodje · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Fodje is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Sooners.
Taylor Heim · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Heim is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Sooners.
Fred Hinton · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Hinton is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Sooners.
Jacobe Johnson · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Sooners.
Cole Sullivan · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Sullivan is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Sooners.
Trynae Washington · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Washington is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Sooners.
Ole Miss · 9 listed
Carius Curne · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Curne is battling an undisclosed Injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rebels.
Ant Davis Jr. · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Davis Jr. is battling an undisclosed Injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rebels.
Izaiah Hartrup · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Hartrup is battling an undisclosed Injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rebels.
Kervin Johnson Jr. · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Johnson Jr. is battling an undisclosed Injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rebels.
Edwin Joseph · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Joseph is battling an undisclosed Injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rebels.
Kewan Lacy · RB Questionable
Shoulder
Lacy is battling an undisclosed Injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rebels.
Gerald Lacy Jr. · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Lacy Jr, is battling an undisclosed Injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rebels.
Nascar McCoy · S Questionable
Undisclosed
McCoy is battling an undisclosed Injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rebels.
Samari Reed · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Reed is battling an undisclosed Injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rebels.
Sat, Nov 14 · 4:15 PM ET
Washington at Michigan State
Line Washington −4.0
SAIF
No playAlpha model Washington −0.6 · Edge 0.5
Entry Washington −4.0, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Michigan State +4.0Model Washington −2.4 · Edge 0.2
Beta Washington −3.3 · Edge 0.1
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Success rate−5.64 → Washington Net PPA (efficiency)+3.89 → Michigan State Opp-adjusted offense−2.23 → Washington Havoc rate−1.21 → Washington Points per opportunity+1.17 → Michigan State Explosiveness−0.94 → Washington Rest advantage−0.44 → Washington Turnover margin+0.21 → Michigan State
Beta
Success rate−5.13 → Washington Opp-adjusted offense−1.91 → Washington Havoc rate−1.83 → Washington Net PPA (efficiency)+1.25 → Michigan State Points per opportunity+1.18 → Michigan State Explosiveness−0.84 → Washington Turnover margin+0.59 → Michigan State Conference tier gap−0.29 → Washington
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Michigan State (home), left/blue favors Washington (away).
Injuries & availability (19 listed)
Michigan State · 14 listed
Cam Fancher · QB Questionable
Knee
Fancher is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Spartans.
Cam Edwards · RB Out
Knee
Edwards is dealing with a knee injury and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Tre Bell · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Bell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Spartans.
Charles Brantley · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Brantley is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Spartans.
Joe Caudill · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Caudill is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Spartans.
Tristan Comer · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Comer is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Spartans.
Jay Coyne · FB Questionable
Undisclosed
Coyne is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Spartans.
Jordan Hall · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Hall is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Spartans.
Marvis Parrish · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Parrish is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Spartans.
Jaziun Patterson · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Patterson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Spartans.
Ben Roberts · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Roberts is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Spartans.
Jayden Savoury · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Savoury is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Spartans.
Charles Taplin · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Taplin is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Spartans.
Brayden Thomas · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Thomas is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Spartans.
Washington · 5 listed
Quaid Carr · RB Out
Upper Body
Carr suffered an upper body injury and will not take the field for the Huskies. He is without a timetable for return.
Landen Hatchett · OL Out
Neck
Hatchett is dealing with a neck injury and will not take the field for the Huskies. He is expected to miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Christian Moss · WR Out
Undisclosed
Moss is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Huskies. He is expected to return in early December.
Jordan Washington · RB Out
Neck
Washington has suffered a neck injury and will not take the field for the Huskies. He will be out indefinitely.
CJ Christian · S Questionable
Achilles
Christian is dealing with an Achilles injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Huskies.
Sat, Nov 14 · 5:00 PM ET
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech
Line Louisiana Tech −17.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Louisiana Tech −15.5 · Edge 0.3
Entry Louisiana Tech −17.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Louisiana Tech −17.5Model Louisiana Tech −18.7 · Edge 0.2
Beta Louisiana Tech −15.3 · Edge 0.3
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense+7.93 → Louisiana Tech Success rate+4.74 → Louisiana Tech Net PPA (efficiency)−2.98 → Southern Miss Opp-adjusted offense+2.53 → Louisiana Tech Havoc rate+1.52 → Louisiana Tech Explosiveness−1.15 → Southern Miss Points per opportunity−0.66 → Southern Miss Rest advantage−0.64 → Southern Miss
Beta
Opp-adjusted defense+6.54 → Louisiana Tech Success rate+4.56 → Louisiana Tech Havoc rate+2.44 → Louisiana Tech Opp-adjusted offense+2.38 → Louisiana Tech Explosiveness−1.04 → Southern Miss Net PPA (efficiency)−1.01 → Southern Miss Points per opportunity−0.69 → Southern Miss Turnover margin−0.67 → Southern Miss
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Louisiana Tech (home), left/blue favors Southern Miss (away).
Louisiana Tech: QB1 Blake Baker listed Questionable.
Southern Miss: QB1 Landy Lyddy missed last game; models still rate the team with him.
Injuries & availability (11 listed)
Louisiana Tech · 4 listed
Blake Baker · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Baker is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulldogs.
Dane Benedix · WR Out
Undisclosed
Benedix is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will miss the remainder of 2026 season.
Za'Qwaun Nunn · DL Out
Undisclosed
Nunn is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bulldogs. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Dylone Brooks · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Brooks is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bulldogs.
Southern Miss · 7 listed
Robert Briggs · RB Out
Undisclosed
Briggs is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Golden Eagles. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jahmir Davis · OL Out
Undisclosed
Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Golden Eagles. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jeremiah Dillon · CB Out
Undisclosed
Dillon is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Golden Eagles. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Ricky Harding · LB Out
Undisclosed
Harding is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Golden Eagles. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jordan Pride · DB Out
Undisclosed
Pride is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Golden Eagles. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jeffery Rush Jr. · DL Out
Undisclosed
Rush Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Golden Eagles. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jaylen Himes · WR Questionable
Foot
Himes is dealing with a foot injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Eagles.
Sat, Nov 14 · 5:30 PM ET
Kansas at West Virginia
Line West Virginia −3.0
SAIF
No playAlpha model Kansas −2.9 · Edge 0.9
Entry West Virginia −3.0, locked Sun 9:37 PM
Gamma · shadow
Kansas +3.0Model Kansas −4.1 · Edge 1.1
Beta Kansas −4.0 · Edge 1.1
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Success rate−6.63 → Kansas Opp-adjusted defense−5.38 → Kansas Opp-adjusted offense+4.22 → West Virginia Net PPA (efficiency)+1.84 → West Virginia Rest advantage−0.45 → Kansas Explosiveness−0.31 → Kansas Points per opportunity−0.21 → Kansas
Beta
Success rate−6.06 → Kansas Opp-adjusted defense−4.20 → Kansas Opp-adjusted offense+3.91 → West Virginia Net PPA (efficiency)+0.58 → West Virginia Turnover margin−0.57 → Kansas Conference tier gap−0.29 → Kansas Explosiveness−0.25 → Kansas
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors West Virginia (home), left/blue favors Kansas (away).
Injuries & availability (19 listed)
West Virginia · 6 listed
Jyron Hughley · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Hughley is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mountaineers.
Darius Wiley · DL Out
Leg
Wiley suffered a leg injury and will not take the field for the Mountaineers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Lawrence Autry · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Autry is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mountaineers.
Jacob Bradford · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Bradford is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mountaineers.
Andre Devine · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Devine is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mountaineers.
Emory Snyder · DB Questionable
Hip
Snyder is recovering from hip surgery and is uncertain to take the field for the Mountaineers.
Kansas · 13 listed
Cole Ballard · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Ballard is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Jayhawks.
Kory Amachree · RB Out
Undisclosed
Amachree is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Tre'von McAlpine · DT Out
Knee
McAlpine is dealing with an ACL injury and will not take the field for the Jayhawks. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Justin Thurman · RB Out
Achilles
Thurman is recovering from Achilles surgery and will not take the field for the Jayhawks. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Jaron Willis · LB Out
Knee
Willis is dealing with a knee injury and will not take the field for the Jayhawks. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Griffin Baker · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Baker is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Jayhawks.
Kasen Carpenter · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Carpenter is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Jayhawks.
Jalen Dupree · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Dupree is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Jayhawks.
Bryson Hayes · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Hayes is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Jayhawks.
Tyren Parker · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Parker is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Jayhawks.
Grady Seyfert · DT Questionable
Undisclosed
Seyfert is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Jayhawks.
Jack Utz · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Utz is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Jayhawks.
Bam Crouch · LB Probable
Undisclosed
Crouch is dealing with an undisclosed injury but is likely to take the field for the Jayhawks.
Sat, Nov 14 · 6:00 PM ET
Oregon State at Boise State
Line Boise State −10.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Boise State −7.4 · Edge 0.5
Entry Boise State −10.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Boise State −10.5Model Boise State −11.6 · Edge 0.2
Beta Boise State −7.9 · Edge 0.4
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted offense+2.76 → Boise State Success rate+2.71 → Boise State Explosiveness−2.32 → Oregon State Net PPA (efficiency)−1.73 → Oregon State Opp-adjusted defense+1.38 → Boise State Havoc rate+0.91 → Boise State Rest advantage−0.40 → Oregon State Points per opportunity−0.36 → Oregon State
Beta
Success rate+2.67 → Boise State Opp-adjusted offense+2.60 → Boise State Explosiveness−2.15 → Oregon State Havoc rate+1.49 → Boise State Opp-adjusted defense+1.25 → Boise State Net PPA (efficiency)−0.60 → Oregon State Points per opportunity−0.39 → Oregon State Conference tier gap−0.29 → Oregon State
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Boise State (home), left/blue favors Oregon State (away).
Boise State: QB1 Maddux Madsen missed last game; models still rate the team with him.
Injuries & availability (11 listed)
Boise State · 4 listed
Maddux Madsen · QB Questionable
Knee
Madsen is dealing with a knee injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Broncos.
Jacob Tracy · OL Out
Undisclosed
Tracy suffered an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Broncos. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Sire Gaines · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Gaines is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Broncos.
Carson Rasmussen · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Rasmussen is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Broncos.
Oregon State · 7 listed
Adonis McDaniel · WR Out
Achilles
McDaniel is battling an Achilles injury and will not take the field for the Beavers. He is expected to miss the 2026 season.
Kord Shaw · LB Out
Undisclosed
Shaw is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Beavers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Eddie Freauff · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Freauff is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Beavers.
Tevita Pome'e · DT Questionable
Undisclosed
Pom'e is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Beavers.
Sailasa Vadrawale III · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Vadrawale III is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Beavers.
Kai Wheaton · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Wheaton is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Beavers.
RJ Whitten · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Whitten is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Beavers.
Sat, Nov 14 · 6:00 PM ET
App State at Marshall
Line App State −1.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model App State −0.1 · Edge 0.2
Entry App State −1.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Marshall +1.5Model Marshall −0.6 · Edge 0.3
Beta App State −0.3 · Edge 0.2
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Explosiveness−3.57 → App State Opp-adjusted defense−1.94 → App State Net PPA (efficiency)+1.20 → Marshall Opp-adjusted offense−1.17 → App State Points per opportunity+0.47 → Marshall Success rate+0.47 → Marshall Rest advantage−0.42 → App State Havoc rate+0.33 → Marshall
Beta
Explosiveness−3.35 → App State Opp-adjusted defense−1.42 → App State Opp-adjusted offense−0.95 → App State Havoc rate+0.58 → Marshall Success rate+0.58 → Marshall Points per opportunity+0.46 → Marshall Net PPA (efficiency)+0.37 → Marshall Conference tier gap−0.29 → App State
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Marshall (home), left/blue favors App State (away).
Marshall: QB1 Carlos Del Rio-Wilson missed last game; models still rate the team with him.
Injuries & availability (14 listed)
Marshall · 4 listed
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Del Rio-Wilson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Thundering Herd.
Xavier Bausley · OL Out
Undisclosed
Bausley is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Thundering Herd. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Brysen Davies · LB Out
Undisclosed
Davies is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Thundering Herd. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Louikenzy Jules · DB Out
Undisclosed
Jules is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Thundering Herd. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
App State · 10 listed
Cary Grant · DB Out
Undisclosed
Grant is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Mountaineers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jordan Harris · DL Out
Undisclosed
Harris is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Mountaineers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Devon Manuel · OL Out
Undisclosed
Manuel is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Mountaineers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Kamauri Austin · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Austin is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mountaineers.
Aiden Benton · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Benton is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mountaineers.
J’Marion Burnette · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Burnette is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mountaineers.
Darrin Fugitt · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Fugitt is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mountaineers.
Tyriq Poindexter · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Poindexter is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mountaineers.
Jayden Thomas · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Thomas is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mountaineers.
Brooks Yurachek · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Yurachek is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mountaineers.
Sat, Nov 14 · 6:15 PM ET
Florida at Kentucky
Line Kentucky −3.0
SAIF
No playAlpha model Kentucky −3.5 · Edge 0.1
Entry Kentucky −3.0, locked Sun 9:37 PM
Gamma · shadow
Kentucky −3.0Model Kentucky −4.7 · Edge 0.3
Beta Kentucky −2.4 · Edge 0.1
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Explosiveness−1.90 → Florida Success rate+1.37 → Kentucky Opp-adjusted offense−1.23 → Florida Opp-adjusted defense+1.07 → Kentucky Rest advantage−0.41 → Florida Turnover margin−0.25 → Florida Points per opportunity+0.20 → Kentucky Net PPA (efficiency)+0.15 → Kentucky
Beta
Explosiveness−1.76 → Florida Success rate+1.42 → Kentucky Opp-adjusted offense−1.01 → Florida Opp-adjusted defense+1.00 → Kentucky Turnover margin−0.71 → Florida Conference tier gap−0.29 → Florida Points per opportunity+0.18 → Kentucky Neutral site+0.11 → Kentucky
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Kentucky (home), left/blue favors Florida (away).
Florida: QB1 Aaron Philo missed last game; models still rate the team with him.
Injuries & availability (11 listed)
Kentucky · 5 listed
Tovani Mizell · RB Out
Undisclosed
Mizell suffered an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Wildcats. He will miss the 2026 season.
Grant Grayton · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Grayton is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Justyn Hartley · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Hartley is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Antwan Smith · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Jaden Smith · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Florida · 6 listed
Kelvin Jimenez · RB Out
Undisclosed
Jimenez is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Gators. He will miss the 2026 season.
Vernell Brown III · WR Questionable
Knee
Brown is dealing with a knee injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Gators.
Evan Chieca · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Chieca is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Gators.
Jeramiah McCloud · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
McCloud is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Gators.
Jaden Robinson · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Robinson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Gators.
Emeka Ugorji · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Ugorji is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Gators.
Sat, Nov 14 · 7:00 PM ET
Louisville at North Carolina
Line Louisville −3.0 (was Louisville −3.5)
SAIF
No playAlpha model Louisville −4.0 · Edge 0.1
Entry Louisville −3.5, locked Sun 9:37 PM · now Louisville −3.0
Gamma · shadow
Louisville −3.0Model Louisville −3.1 · Edge 0.0
Beta Louisville −5.2 · Edge 0.3
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Success rate−7.18 → Louisville Opp-adjusted offense−4.61 → Louisville Net PPA (efficiency)+2.62 → North Carolina Opp-adjusted defense+1.21 → North Carolina Explosiveness−0.54 → Louisville Points per opportunity+0.46 → North Carolina Rest advantage−0.38 → Louisville Havoc rate−0.30 → Louisville
Beta
Success rate−6.57 → Louisville Opp-adjusted offense−4.06 → Louisville Opp-adjusted defense+1.11 → North Carolina Net PPA (efficiency)+0.84 → North Carolina Turnover margin+0.69 → North Carolina Explosiveness−0.47 → Louisville Points per opportunity+0.45 → North Carolina Havoc rate−0.40 → Louisville
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors North Carolina (home), left/blue favors Louisville (away).
Injuries & availability (16 listed)
North Carolina · 6 listed
Keeyun Chapman · WR Out
Suspension
Chapman has been suspended indefinitely and will not take the field for the Tar Heels.
Jonathan Agumadu · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Agumadu is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tar Heels.
Jimmy-Phrisco Alo-Suliafu · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Alo-Suliafu is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tar Heels.
Vodney Cleveland · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Cleveland is dealing with an undisclosed issue and is uncertain to take the field for the Tar Heels.
Tre Miller · DB Questionable
Lower Body
Miller is dealing with a lower-body injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tar Heels.
Peyton Waters · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Waters is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tar Heels.
Louisville · 10 listed
Kris Hughes · WR Out
Lower Body
Hughes is dealing with a lower body injury and will not take the field for the Cardinals. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Antonio Watts · DB Out
Knee
Watts is dealing with a knee injury and will not take the field for the Cardinals. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Hamilton Atkins · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Atkins is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinals.
Jacob Baker · P Questionable
Undisclosed
Baker is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinals.
Bryten Close · OT Questionable
Undisclosed
Close is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinals.
Payton Cook · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Cook is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinals.
Sam Dawson · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Dawson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinals.
James Glover-Tyson · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Glover-Tyson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinals.
Lawayne McCoy · WR Questionable
Knee
McCoy is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinals.
Anwar O'neal · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
O'neal is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinals.
Sat, Nov 14 · 7:00 PM ET
Troy at South Alabama
Line South Alabama −2.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model South Alabama −5.1 · Edge 0.4
Entry South Alabama −2.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
South Alabama −2.5Model South Alabama −2.6 · Edge 0.0
Beta South Alabama −4.7 · Edge 0.3
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted offense+5.58 → South Alabama Opp-adjusted defense−3.62 → Troy Havoc rate+0.71 → South Alabama Net PPA (efficiency)+0.64 → South Alabama Explosiveness+0.52 → South Alabama Rest advantage−0.42 → Troy Points per opportunity+0.32 → South Alabama
Beta
Opp-adjusted offense+5.13 → South Alabama Opp-adjusted defense−2.78 → Troy Havoc rate+1.17 → South Alabama Explosiveness+0.54 → South Alabama Turnover margin−0.39 → Troy Points per opportunity+0.30 → South Alabama Conference tier gap−0.29 → Troy
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors South Alabama (home), left/blue favors Troy (away).
South Alabama: QB1 Jared Hollins missed last game; models still rate the team with him.
Troy: QB1 Will Crowder out 2 straight games (already in team stats).
Injuries & availability (21 listed)
South Alabama · 15 listed
Brian Barnes · WR Out
Undisclosed
Barnes is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season for the Jaguars.
Dylan Chiedo · LB Out
Undisclosed
Chiedo is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season for the Jaguars.
Caleb Dozier · LB Out
Undisclosed
Dozier is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Jaguars. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Tirrell Johnson · LB Out
Undisclosed
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Jaguars. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Julius Kidd · OL Out
Undisclosed
Kidd is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Jaguars. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Matthew Laseter · S Out
Undisclosed
Laseter is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Jaguars. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Maddox Lynch · TE Out
Undisclosed
Lynch is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season for the Jaguars.
Khatori Marion · WR Out
Undisclosed
Marion is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season for the Jaguars.
Micah Woods · WR Out
Undisclosed
Woods is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Jaguars. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Cole Blaylock · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Blaylock is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Jaguars.
Perry Hand · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Hand is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Jaguars.
Shalik Hubbard · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Hubbard is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Jaguars.
Artem Korchagin Jr. · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Korchagin Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Jaguars.
DJ Moore · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Moore is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Jaguars.
Demetress Mosley · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Mosley is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Jaguars.
Troy · 6 listed
Joe Lott · S Out
Undisclosed
Lott is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Trojans. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jermaine Paramore · DT Out
Undisclosed
Paramore is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Trojans. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Tai Terrell · CB Out
Undisclosed
Terrell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Trojans. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jackson Worley · TE Out
Undisclosed
Worley is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Trojans. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jayvin Bennett · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Bennett is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Trojans.
Marquis Harris · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Harris is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Trojans.
Sat, Nov 14 · 7:00 PM ET
San José State at Air Force
Line Air Force −11.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Air Force −11.2 · Edge 0.0
Entry Air Force −11.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
San José State +11.5Model Air Force −9.2 · Edge 0.3
Beta Air Force −11.5 · Edge 0.0
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Success rate+7.22 → Air Force Opp-adjusted offense+4.17 → Air Force Explosiveness−4.01 → San José State Havoc rate+1.59 → Air Force Opp-adjusted defense−1.08 → San José State Rest advantage−0.44 → San José State Net PPA (efficiency)−0.35 → San José State Points per opportunity−0.30 → San José State
Beta
Success rate+6.88 → Air Force Opp-adjusted offense+3.86 → Air Force Explosiveness−3.76 → San José State Havoc rate+2.55 → Air Force Opp-adjusted defense−0.73 → San José State Points per opportunity−0.33 → San José State Conference tier gap−0.29 → San José State Net PPA (efficiency)−0.14 → San José State
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Air Force (home), left/blue favors San José State (away).
San José State: QB1 Luke Weaver missed last game; models still rate the team with him.
Injuries & availability (9 listed)
Air Force · 5 listed
Liam Szarka · QB Out
Leg
Szarka is dealing with a lower leg injury and will not take the field for the Falcons. He will miss the remainder of the 2026-27 season.
Houston Hendrix · DB Out
Undisclosed
Hendrix is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Falcons. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jordan Elie-Stuart · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Elie-Stuart is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Falcons.
Sylas Maiava-Alaimalo · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Maiava-Alaimalo is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Falcons.
Ehimen Oyamendan · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Oyamendan is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Falcons.
San José State · 4 listed
Joseph Harbert · OL Out
Undisclosed
Harbert is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Spartans. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Charles Cox III · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Cox III is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Spartans.
Jase Nix · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Nix is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Spartans.
Ian Shewell · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Shewell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Spartans.
Sat, Nov 14 · 7:00 PM ET
Minnesota at Penn State
Line Penn State −9.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Penn State −12.8 · Edge 0.5
Entry Penn State −9.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Penn State −9.5Model Penn State −12.0 · Edge 0.4
Beta Penn State −12.3 · Edge 0.4
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted offense+3.93 → Penn State Success rate+3.09 → Penn State Opp-adjusted defense+2.22 → Penn State Net PPA (efficiency)−1.34 → Minnesota Explosiveness+1.32 → Penn State Points per opportunity−0.53 → Minnesota Rest advantage−0.44 → Minnesota Havoc rate+0.12 → Penn State
Beta
Opp-adjusted offense+3.64 → Penn State Success rate+3.03 → Penn State Opp-adjusted defense+1.93 → Penn State Explosiveness+1.30 → Penn State Points per opportunity−0.56 → Minnesota Net PPA (efficiency)−0.47 → Minnesota Conference tier gap−0.29 → Minnesota Havoc rate+0.25 → Penn State
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Penn State (home), left/blue favors Minnesota (away).
Injuries & availability (13 listed)
Penn State · 6 listed
Max Granville · DE Out
Undisclosed
Granville is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Nittany Lions. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Tyler Armstead · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Armstead is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Nittany Lions.
Alijah Carnell · DT Questionable
Undisclosed
Carnell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Nittany Lions.
Koby Howard · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Howard is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Nittany Lions.
Cristiano Rosa · K Questionable
Undisclosed
Rosa is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Nittany Lions.
Alex Tatsch · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Tatsch is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Nittany Lions.
Minnesota · 7 listed
Ryan Estrada · RB Out
Knee
Estrada suffered a knee injury and will not take the field for the Golden Gophers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Ashton Beers · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Beers is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Gophers.
Brett Carroll · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Carroll is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Gophers.
Julian Johnson · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Gophers.
Garrison Monroe · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Monroe is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Gophers.
Hayden Moore · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Moore is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Gophers.
Pierce Walsh · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Walsh is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Golden Gophers.
Sat, Nov 14 · 7:30 PM ET
Utah at Arizona
Line Utah −2.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Arizona −0.1 · Edge 0.4
Entry Utah −2.5, locked Sun 9:37 PM
Gamma · shadow
Arizona +2.5Model Utah −2.4 · Edge 0.0
Beta Arizona −0.2 · Edge 0.4
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense−2.17 → Utah Explosiveness+1.12 → Arizona Opp-adjusted offense−0.88 → Utah Points per opportunity+0.86 → Arizona Net PPA (efficiency)+0.78 → Arizona Rest advantage−0.35 → Utah Havoc rate+0.28 → Arizona
Beta
Opp-adjusted defense−1.61 → Utah Explosiveness+1.11 → Arizona Points per opportunity+0.86 → Arizona Opp-adjusted offense−0.69 → Utah Havoc rate+0.51 → Arizona Conference tier gap−0.29 → Utah Net PPA (efficiency)+0.23 → Arizona
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Arizona (home), left/blue favors Utah (away).
Injuries & availability (12 listed)
Arizona · 10 listed
Daylen Austin · S Out
Undisclosed
Austin is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Wildcats. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
R.J. Mosley · WR Out
Leg
Mosley is dealing with a lower leg injury and will not take the field for the Wildcats. He is without timetable to return.
Tré Spivey · WR Out
Foot
Spivey is dealing with a broken foot and will not take the field for the Wildcats. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Cam Chapa · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Chapa is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Jay'Vion Cole · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Cole is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Ezra Funa · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Funa is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Max Harris · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Harris is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Shane King · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
King is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Ismail Mahdi · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Mahdi is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Kevin Moorer Jr. · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Moorer Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Wildcats.
Utah · 2 listed
Isaiah Garcia · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Garcia is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Utes.
Wayshawn Parker · RB Probable
Heel
Parker is dealing with a bruised heel but is expected to take the field for the Utes.
Sat, Nov 14 · 7:30 PM ET
Purdue at Iowa
Line Iowa −17.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Iowa −18.5 · Edge 0.1
Entry Iowa −17.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Iowa −17.5Model Iowa −18.9 · Edge 0.2
Beta Iowa −18.8 · Edge 0.2
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense+9.27 → Iowa Net PPA (efficiency)−3.27 → Purdue Opp-adjusted offense−2.40 → Purdue Explosiveness+1.63 → Iowa Points per opportunity−1.26 → Purdue Rest advantage−0.45 → Purdue
Beta
Opp-adjusted defense+7.62 → Iowa Opp-adjusted offense−2.06 → Purdue Explosiveness+1.60 → Iowa Points per opportunity−1.31 → Purdue Net PPA (efficiency)−1.10 → Purdue Conference tier gap−0.29 → Purdue
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Iowa (home), left/blue favors Purdue (away).
Injuries & availability (13 listed)
Iowa · 9 listed
Kamari Moulton · RB Out
Undisclosed
Moulton is dealing was an undisclosed injury and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Lucas Allgeyer · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Allgeyer is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hawkeyes.
Tyler Brown · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Brown is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hawkeyes.
Burke Gautcher · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Gautcher is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hawkeyes.
Kyler Gerardy · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Gerardy is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hawkeyes.
Cannon Leonard · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Leonard is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hawkeyes.
Brody Schaffer · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Schaffer is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hawkeyes.
Trent Wilson · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Wilson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hawkeyes.
Cael Winter · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Winter is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hawkeyes.
Purdue · 4 listed
Raderrion Daniels · DB Out
Knee
Daniels suffered a knee injury and will not take the field for the Boilermakers. He will miss the 2026 season.
Kylan Fox · TE Out
Knee
Fox suffered a knee injury and will not take the field for the Boilermakers. He will miss the 2026 season.
Rodney Lora · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Lora is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Boilermakers.
Jaden Mangham · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Mangham is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Boilermakers.
Sat, Nov 14 · 7:30 PM ET
Texas at LSU
Line LSU −3.5 (was LSU −4.5)
SAIF
No playAlpha model LSU −5.5 · Edge 0.2
Entry LSU −4.5, locked Sun 9:37 PM · now LSU −3.5
Gamma · shadow
LSU −3.5Model LSU −6.9 · Edge 0.5
Beta LSU −6.1 · Edge 0.4
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Explosiveness−2.30 → Texas Opp-adjusted offense+1.47 → LSU Opp-adjusted defense−1.31 → Texas Net PPA (efficiency)−0.92 → Texas Points per opportunity+0.55 → LSU Rest advantage−0.44 → Texas
Beta
Explosiveness−2.14 → Texas Opp-adjusted offense+1.43 → LSU Opp-adjusted defense−0.92 → Texas Points per opportunity+0.54 → LSU Net PPA (efficiency)−0.33 → Texas Conference tier gap−0.29 → Texas
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors LSU (home), left/blue favors Texas (away).
Injuries & availability (12 listed)
LSU · 7 listed
Aidan Anding · CB Out
Achilles
Anding suffered a torn Achilles and will not take the field for the Tigers. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Gabriel Reliford · DE Out
Knee
Reliford is recovering from a torn ACL and will miss the entire 2026 season.
Charles Ross II · LB Out
Knee
Ross II suffered a torn ACL and will not take the field for the Tigers. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Dashawn Spears · S Out
Knee
Spears is dealing with an ACL injury and will miss the rest of the 2026 season.
Phillip Wright III · WR Out
Undisclosed
Wright III s dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Tigers. He will miss the rest of the 2026 season.
Richard Anderson · DT Questionable
Undisclosed
Anderson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers.
Whit Weeks · LB Questionable
Leg
Weeks is dealing with a fractured fibula and is uncertain to take the field for the Tigers.
Texas · 5 listed
Trevor Goosby · OL Out
Knee
Goosby suffered a knee injury and will not take the field for the Longhorns. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Hollywood Smothers · RB Out
Shoulder/Knee
Smothers is dealing with a shoulder and knee injury and will not take the field for the Longhorns. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Cam Coleman · WR Questionable
Shoulder
Coleman is dealing with a shoulder injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Longhorns.
Nick Townsend · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Townsend is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Longhorns.
Richard Wesley · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Wesley is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Longhorns.
Sat, Nov 14 · 7:30 PM ET
Stanford at Virginia Tech
Line Virginia Tech −15.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Virginia Tech −19.9 · Edge 0.7
Entry Virginia Tech −15.5, locked Sun 9:37 PM
Gamma · shadow
Virginia Tech −15.5Model Virginia Tech −20.1 · Edge 0.7
Beta Virginia Tech −19.9 · Edge 0.7
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Success rate+9.07 → Virginia Tech Opp-adjusted defense+5.28 → Virginia Tech Opp-adjusted offense+4.54 → Virginia Tech Net PPA (efficiency)−2.93 → Stanford Havoc rate+1.45 → Virginia Tech Points per opportunity−1.17 → Stanford Rest advantage−1.16 → Stanford Turnover margin+0.17 → Virginia Tech
Beta
Success rate+8.61 → Virginia Tech Opp-adjusted defense+4.39 → Virginia Tech Opp-adjusted offense+4.20 → Virginia Tech Havoc rate+2.34 → Virginia Tech Rest advantage−1.31 → Stanford Points per opportunity−1.22 → Stanford Net PPA (efficiency)−0.99 → Stanford Turnover margin+0.47 → Virginia Tech
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Virginia Tech (home), left/blue favors Stanford (away).
Injuries & availability (22 listed)
Virginia Tech · 9 listed
Randy Adirika · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Adirika is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hokies.
Lucas Austin · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Austin is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hokies.
George Ballance · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Ballance is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hokies.
Marlen Bright · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Bright is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hokies.
Shamarius Peterkin · WR Questionable
Foot
Peterkin is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hokies.
Luke Stuewe · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Stuewe is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hokies.
Justin Terry · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Terry is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hokies.
Thomas Williams · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hokies.
Nathaniel Wright · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Wright is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Hokies.
Stanford · 13 listed
London Bironas · K Questionable
Undisclosed
Bironas is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinal.
Brendan Delaney · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Delaney is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinal.
Langdon Horace · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Horace is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinal.
Preston Jernegan · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Jernegan is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinals.
Aidan Kilstrom · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Kilstrom is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinal.
Zaiden McDonald · S Questionable
Undisclosed
McDonald is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinal.
Nathan Mejia · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Mejia is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinal.
Sam Neely III · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Neely III is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinal.
Brandon Nicholson · CB Questionable
Lower Body
Nicholson is dealing with a lower body injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinal.
Matt Rose · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Rose is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinal.
Breylan Thompson · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Thompson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinal.
Peyton Warford · LS Questionable
Undisclosed
Warford is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinals.
Reiman Zebert · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Zebert is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cardinal.
Sat, Nov 14 · 7:30 PM ET
UNLV at New Mexico
Line New Mexico −14.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model New Mexico −17.9 · Edge 0.5
Entry New Mexico −14.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
New Mexico −14.5Model New Mexico −16.9 · Edge 0.4
Beta New Mexico −17.8 · Edge 0.5
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Success rate+7.47 → New Mexico Opp-adjusted defense+6.12 → New Mexico Opp-adjusted offense+3.29 → New Mexico Havoc rate+2.48 → New Mexico Explosiveness−2.47 → UNLV Net PPA (efficiency)−2.01 → UNLV Points per opportunity−0.76 → UNLV Turnover margin−0.36 → UNLV
Beta
Success rate+7.12 → New Mexico Opp-adjusted defense+5.07 → New Mexico Havoc rate+3.94 → New Mexico Opp-adjusted offense+3.07 → New Mexico Explosiveness−2.30 → UNLV Turnover margin−1.01 → UNLV Points per opportunity−0.80 → UNLV Net PPA (efficiency)−0.69 → UNLV
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors New Mexico (home), left/blue favors UNLV (away).
Injuries & availability (20 listed)
New Mexico · 12 listed
James Laubstein · QB Out
Lower Body
Laubstein suffered a lower-body injury and will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jack Layne · QB Out
Elbow
Layne underwent surgery on his elbow and will miss the 2026 season.
Melaki Gutierrez · CB Out
Undisclosed
Gutierrez underwent surgery on an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Lobos. He will miss the 2026 season.
Elvin Harris · OL Out
Undisclosed
Harris is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not to take the field for the Lobos. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Troy Omeire · WR Out
Undisclosed
Omeire is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Lobos. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Kaden Robnett · OL Out
Undisclosed
Robnett is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not to take the field for the Lobos. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Cody Thumlert · DE Out
Undisclosed
Thumlert is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not to take the field for the Lobos. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Nick Wheeler · S Out
Undisclosed
Wheeler is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not to take the field for the Lobos. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Ormanie Arnold · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Arnold is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Lobos.
Jaxton Eck · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Eck is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Lobos.
Shawn Miller · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Miller is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Lobos.
Massiah Mingo · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Mingo is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Lobos.
UNLV · 8 listed
Cole Albrecht · LB Out
Undisclosed
Albrecht is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Runnin' Rebels. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
CJ Besser · DL Out
Undisclosed
Besser is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Runnin' Rebels. He will miss the 2026 season.
Tevita Tausinga · OL Out
Undisclosed
Tausinga is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Runnin' Rebels. He will miss the 2026 season.
Cohen Fuller · DL Questionable
Personal
Fuller is dealing with a personal matter and is uncertain to take the field for the Runnin’ Rebels.
Tre Fulton · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Fulton is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Runnin’ Rebels.
DeAngelo Irvin Jr. · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Irvin Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Runnin’ Rebels.
Quandarius Keyes · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Keyes is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Runnin’ Rebels.
Troy Stellato · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Stellato is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Runnin’ Rebels.
Sat, Nov 14 · 7:45 PM ET
South Carolina at Arkansas
Line South Carolina −7.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model South Carolina −6.6 · Edge 0.1
Entry South Carolina −7.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
South Carolina −7.5Model South Carolina −9.2 · Edge 0.3
Beta South Carolina −7.3 · Edge 0.0
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted offense−7.71 → South Carolina Net PPA (efficiency)+1.98 → Arkansas Explosiveness−1.80 → South Carolina Opp-adjusted defense−1.70 → South Carolina Success rate−1.69 → South Carolina Points per opportunity+0.99 → Arkansas Havoc rate−0.75 → South Carolina Rest advantage−0.41 → South Carolina
Beta
Opp-adjusted offense−6.85 → South Carolina Explosiveness−1.66 → South Carolina Success rate−1.44 → South Carolina Opp-adjusted defense−1.23 → South Carolina Havoc rate−1.11 → South Carolina Points per opportunity+1.00 → Arkansas Net PPA (efficiency)+0.63 → Arkansas Conference tier gap−0.29 → South Carolina
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Arkansas (home), left/blue favors South Carolina (away).
Injuries & availability (16 listed)
Arkansas · 6 listed
J'Lynn Allen · DL Out
Undisclosed
Allen is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Razorbacks. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Maddox Lassiter · TE Out
Upper Body
Lassiter suffered an upper body injury and will not take the field for the Razorbacks. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Connor Smith · P Out
Knee
Smith is dealing with a torn ACL and will not take the field for the Razorbacks. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Gavin Garretson · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Garretson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Razorbacks.
Braydon Lee · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Lee is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Razorbacks.
Quincy Rhodes Jr. · DL Probable
Undisclosed
Rhodes Jr. is battling an undisclosed injury but is likely to take the field for the Razorbacks.
South Carolina · 10 listed
LaNorris Sellers · QB Probable
Ankle
Sellers is dealing with an ankle injury but is expected to take the field for the Gamecocks.
Jayden Gibson · WR Out
Lower Body
Gibson suffered a lower-body injury and will not take the field for the Cougars. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Jayden Sellers · WR Out
Lower Body
Sellers suffered a lower body injury and will not take the field for the Gamecocks. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Josiah Thompson · OL Out
Lower Body
Thompson is dealing with a lower-body injury and will not take the field for the Gamecocks. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Dayne Arnett · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Arnett is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Gamecocks.
J’Zavien Currence · DB Questionable
Undisclosed
Currence is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Gamecocks.
Matt Fuller · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Fuller is dealing with an undisclosed and is uncertain to take the field for the Gamecocks.
Kobby Sakyi-Prah · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Sakyi-Prah is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Gamecocks.
Seth Smith · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Gamecocks.
Jordan Thomas · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Thomas is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Gamecocks.
Sat, Nov 14 · 9:00 PM ET
North Texas at UTSA
Line North Texas −1.0 (was North Texas −1.5)
SAIF
No playAlpha model North Texas −4.0 · Edge 0.4
Entry North Texas −1.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM · now North Texas −1.0
Gamma · shadow
North Texas −1.0Model North Texas −3.2 · Edge 0.3
Beta North Texas −5.3 · Edge 0.6
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted offense−6.34 → North Texas Success rate−2.62 → North Texas Net PPA (efficiency)+1.93 → UTSA Explosiveness−1.66 → North Texas Havoc rate−0.87 → North Texas Opp-adjusted defense+0.68 → UTSA Points per opportunity+0.56 → UTSA Rest advantage−0.20 → North Texas
Beta
Opp-adjusted offense−5.62 → North Texas Success rate−2.31 → North Texas Explosiveness−1.53 → North Texas Havoc rate−1.29 → North Texas Opp-adjusted defense+0.69 → UTSA Net PPA (efficiency)+0.61 → UTSA Points per opportunity+0.56 → UTSA Rest advantage+0.36 → UTSA
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors UTSA (home), left/blue favors North Texas (away).
Injuries & availability (21 listed)
UTSA · 8 listed
Johnny Bowens III · DL Out
Knee
Bowens III suffered a knee injury and will not take the field for the Roadrunners. He will miss the 2026 season.
Chris Bryson II · LB Out
Undisclosed
Bryson II is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Roadrunners. He will miss the rest of the 2026 season.
Bryson Donnell · RB Out
Undisclosed
Donnell is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Roadrunners. He will miss the rest of the 2026 season.
Mykha Green · RB Out
Undisclosed
Green is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Roadrunners.
Marcellus Wilkerson · S Out
Undisclosed
Wilkerson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Roadrunners.
Jarvse Dickerson · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Dickerson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Roadrunners.
Brandon Tucker · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Tucker is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Roadrunners.
Sekope Wallace · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Wallace is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Roadrunners.
North Texas · 13 listed
Chaston Ditta · QB Questionable
Undisclosed
Ditta is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mean Green.
Drew Clemens · TE Out
Undisclosed
Clemens is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Mean Green.
Caden Jenkins · CB Out
Knee
Jenkins is battling an ACL injury and will not take the field for the Mean Green. He will miss the 2026 season.
Zach Johnson · CB Out
Undisclosed
Johnson is battling an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Mean Green. He will miss the 2026 season.
Kailer Pettijohn · LB Out
Undisclosed
Pettijohn is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Mean Green. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Avion Carter · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Carter is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mean Green.
Grady Holmes · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Holmes is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mean Green.
Julian Knox Sr. · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Knox Sr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mean Green.
Kyle Koch · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Koch is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mean Green.
Aaden Little · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Little is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mean Green.
Josiah Martin · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Martin is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mean Green.
Corri Milliner · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Milliner is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mean Green.
Colin Page · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Page is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mean Green.
Sat, Nov 14 · 9:30 PM ET
Texas Tech at Oklahoma State
Line Oklahoma State −3.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Oklahoma State −3.2 · Edge 0.1
Entry Oklahoma State −3.5, locked Sun 9:37 PM
Gamma · shadow
Texas Tech +3.5Model Oklahoma State −1.2 · Edge 0.3
Beta Oklahoma State −1.5 · Edge 0.3
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Success rate−3.93 → Texas Tech Net PPA (efficiency)+2.99 → Oklahoma State Opp-adjusted offense+2.78 → Oklahoma State Opp-adjusted defense−1.97 → Texas Tech Explosiveness−1.55 → Texas Tech Points per opportunity+0.71 → Oklahoma State Rest advantage−0.38 → Texas Tech Turnover margin+0.19 → Oklahoma State
Beta
Success rate−3.53 → Texas Tech Opp-adjusted offense+2.61 → Oklahoma State Opp-adjusted defense−1.45 → Texas Tech Explosiveness−1.43 → Texas Tech Net PPA (efficiency)+0.96 → Oklahoma State Points per opportunity+0.70 → Oklahoma State Turnover margin+0.53 → Oklahoma State Conference tier gap−0.29 → Texas Tech
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Oklahoma State (home), left/blue favors Texas Tech (away).
Texas Tech: QB1 Will Hammond out 2 straight games (already in team stats).
Injuries & availability (11 listed)
Oklahoma State · 6 listed
Jacob Sexton · OL Out
Leg
Sexton is dealing with a right leg injury and will not take the field for the Cowboys. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Landon Dean · DT Questionable
Undisclosed
Dean is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cowboys.
Jaleel Johnson · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cowboys.
Carson Kolb · TE Questionable
Ankle
Kolb is dealing with an ankle injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cowboys.
Tate Romney · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Romney is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cowboys.
Dayvon Standard · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Standard is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cowboys.
Texas Tech · 5 listed
Coy Eakin · WR Out
Arm
Eakin is dealing with an arm injury and will not take the field for the Red Raiders. He is expected to miss a few weeks.
Donte Lee Jr. · WR Out
Knee
Lee Jr. is dealing with a torn ACL and will not take the field for the Red Raiders. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Cameron Dickey · RB Questionable
Ankle
Dickey is dealing with a knee injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Red Raiders.
Jalen Jones · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Jones is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Red Raiders.
Malcolm Simmons · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Simmons is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Red Raiders.
Sat, Nov 14 · 9:30 PM ET
Utah State at San Diego State
Line Utah State −1.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Utah State −3.8 · Edge 0.4
Entry Utah State −1.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Utah State −1.5Model Utah State −6.8 · Edge 0.8
Beta Utah State −2.7 · Edge 0.2
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense−8.55 → Utah State Success rate−4.17 → Utah State Opp-adjusted offense+3.16 → San Diego State Explosiveness+0.74 → San Diego State Net PPA (efficiency)+0.57 → San Diego State Rest advantage+0.43 → San Diego State Havoc rate−0.42 → Utah State Neutral site+0.10 → San Diego State
Beta
Opp-adjusted defense−6.76 → Utah State Success rate−3.75 → Utah State Opp-adjusted offense+2.95 → San Diego State Rest advantage+1.46 → San Diego State Explosiveness+0.76 → San Diego State Havoc rate−0.59 → Utah State Conference tier gap−0.29 → Utah State Net PPA (efficiency)+0.16 → San Diego State
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors San Diego State (home), left/blue favors Utah State (away).
San Diego State: QB1 Jayden Denegal out 2 straight games (already in team stats).
Utah State: QB1 Grady Brosterhous out 2 straight games (already in team stats).
Injuries & availability (19 listed)
San Diego State · 8 listed
Jayden Denegal · QB Questionable
Ankle
Denegal is dealing with an ankle injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aztecs.
Dalesean Staley · S Out
Knee
Staley is dealing with a knee injury and will not take the field for the Aztecs. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Jack Ellis · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Ellis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aztecs.
Max Garrison · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Garrison is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aztecs.
Jelani McLaughlin · S Questionable
Undisclosed
McLaughlin is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aztecs.
De'yhare Overstreet-Glover · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Overstreet-Glover is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aztecs.
Jalen Thomeson · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Thomeson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aztecs.
Luke Williams · LS Questionable
Undisclosed
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aztecs.
Utah State · 11 listed
Nikko Boncore · WR Out
Undisclosed
is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Aggies. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Kauasi Hansen · OL Out
Undisclosed
Hansen is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Aggies. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Chris Joe · LB Out
Undisclosed
Joe is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Aggies. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Jude Nelson · TE Out
Undisclosed
Nelson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Aggies. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Chapman Lewis · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Lewis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aggies.
Jimmy Liston · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Liston is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aggies.
John McClellan · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
McClellan is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aggies.
Landon Rehkow · P Questionable
Undisclosed
Rehkow is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aggies.
Harrison Taggart · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Taggart is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aggies.
Tevita Tuha · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Tuha is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aggies.
Eli Wood · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Wood is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Aggies.
Sat, Nov 14 · 10:00 PM ET
Wyoming at UTEP
Line Wyoming −9.0
SAIF
No playAlpha model Wyoming −13.0 · Edge 0.6
Entry Wyoming −9.0, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Wyoming −9.0Model Wyoming −14.3 · Edge 0.8
Beta Wyoming −14.0 · Edge 0.8
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Success rate−8.89 → Wyoming Opp-adjusted defense−8.03 → Wyoming Opp-adjusted offense−5.63 → Wyoming Net PPA (efficiency)+3.44 → UTEP Explosiveness+2.54 → UTEP Havoc rate−1.76 → Wyoming Points per opportunity+1.23 → UTEP Rest advantage−0.41 → Wyoming
Beta
Success rate−8.16 → Wyoming Opp-adjusted defense−6.34 → Wyoming Opp-adjusted offense−4.98 → Wyoming Havoc rate−2.69 → Wyoming Explosiveness+2.47 → UTEP Points per opportunity+1.24 → UTEP Net PPA (efficiency)+1.10 → UTEP Conference tier gap−0.29 → Wyoming
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors UTEP (home), left/blue favors Wyoming (away).
UTEP: QB1 EJ Colson missed last game; models still rate the team with him.
Injuries & availability (13 listed)
UTEP · 7 listed
Jackson Bradley · OL Out
Undisclosed
Bradley is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Miners. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Rashad Smith · OL Out
Undisclosed
Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Miners. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Ekow Taylor · LB Out
Undisclosed
Taylor is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Miners. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Kofi Taylor-Barrocks · LB Out
Undisclosed
Taylor-Barrocks is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Miners. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Isaiah Bogerty · LB Questionable
Undisclosed
Bogerty is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Miners.
Mason Ferguson · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Ferguson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Miners.
Preston Hickey · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Hickey is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Miners.
Wyoming · 6 listed
Nathan Geiger · OL Out
Knee
Geiger is dealing with a knee injury and will not take the field for the Cowboys. He will miss the 2026 season.
Jason Maciejczak · OL Out
Undisclosed
Maciejczak is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Cowboys. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Caleb Robinson · DT Out
Undisclosed
Robinson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Cowboys. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Brooklyn Cheek · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Cheek is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cowboys.
Jake Davies · OT Questionable
Foot
Davies is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cowboys.
Kendall Griffin · CB Questionable
Undisclosed
Griffin is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cowboys.
Sat, Nov 14 · 10:30 PM ET
Colorado State at Washington State
Line Washington State −9.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model Washington State −5.5 · Edge 0.6
Entry Washington State −9.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
Colorado State +9.5Model Washington State −4.5 · Edge 0.7
Beta Washington State −5.5 · Edge 0.6
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted offense−9.26 → Colorado State Opp-adjusted defense+8.93 → Washington State Success rate+2.85 → Washington State Explosiveness−1.85 → Colorado State Rest advantage+0.41 → Washington State Turnover margin+0.38 → Washington State Havoc rate−0.20 → Colorado State Net PPA (efficiency)−0.17 → Colorado State
Beta
Opp-adjusted offense−8.24 → Colorado State Opp-adjusted defense+7.34 → Washington State Success rate+2.80 → Washington State Explosiveness−1.71 → Colorado State Rest advantage+1.43 → Washington State Turnover margin+1.08 → Washington State Conference tier gap−0.29 → Colorado State Havoc rate−0.25 → Colorado State
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Washington State (home), left/blue favors Colorado State (away).
Washington State: QB1 Caden Pinnick out 3 straight games (already in team stats).
Injuries & availability (14 listed)
Washington State · 3 listed
Nylan Brown · LB Out
Undisclosed
Brown is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Cougars. He will miss the rest of the 2026 season.
Tony Freeman · WR Out
Knee
Freeman is dealing with a knee injury and will not take the field for the Cougars. He will miss the entire 2026 season.
Darrius Clemons · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Clemons is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Cougars.
Colorado State · 11 listed
Jace Bellah · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Bellah is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rams.
Mel Brown · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Brown is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rams.
John Holthaus · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Holthaus is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rams.
Grant Houser · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Houser is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rams.
Makih Johnson · WR Questionable
Undisclosed
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rams.
Elijah Mc-Cantos · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Mc-Cantos is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rams.
Dagan Myers · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Myers is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rams.
AJ Noland · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Noland is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rams.
Durell Robinson · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Robinson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rams.
Pearce Spurlin III · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Spurlin III is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rams.
Juice Vereen · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Vereen is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rams.
Sat, Nov 14 · 11:00 PM ET
North Dakota State at Hawai'i
Line North Dakota State −6.5
SAIF
No playAlpha model North Dakota State −10.5 · Edge 0.6
Entry North Dakota State −6.5, locked Sun 9:27 PM
Gamma · shadow
North Dakota State −6.5Model North Dakota State −8.2 · Edge 0.3
Beta North Dakota State −12.1 · Edge 0.8
Where the margin comes from
Alpha
Opp-adjusted defense−5.72 → North Dakota State Success rate−5.01 → North Dakota State Opp-adjusted offense−4.85 → North Dakota State Net PPA (efficiency)+3.69 → Hawai'i Explosiveness−2.51 → North Dakota State Points per opportunity+1.52 → Hawai'i Rest advantage−1.29 → North Dakota State Havoc rate−1.15 → North Dakota State
Beta
Success rate−4.54 → North Dakota State Opp-adjusted defense−4.48 → North Dakota State Opp-adjusted offense−4.26 → North Dakota State Explosiveness−2.34 → North Dakota State Havoc rate−1.73 → North Dakota State Points per opportunity+1.54 → Hawai'i Rest advantage−1.54 → North Dakota State Net PPA (efficiency)+1.19 → Hawai'i
Exact linear decomposition of each model's own prediction — intercept + each feature's standardized value × its fitted coefficient. Bars run from the center: right/gold favors Hawai'i (home), left/blue favors North Dakota State (away).
Injuries & availability (25 listed)
Hawai'i · 9 listed
Joenel Figueroa · DB Out
Undisclosed
Figueroa is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Rainbow Warriors. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Robert Haynes IV · WR Out
Undisclosed
Haynes IV is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Rainbow Warriors. He will miss the 2026 season.
Luther McCoy · DL Out
Undisclosed
McCoy is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Rainbow Warriors. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Pofele Ashlock · WR Questionable
Knee
Ashlock is dealing with a knee injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rainbow Warriors.
Ha'aheo Dela Cruz · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Dela Cruz is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rainbow Warriors.
Boogie Henderson · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
Henderson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rainbow Warriors.
Anthony Hickman · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Hickman is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rainbow Warriors.
Eric McFall · OL Questionable
Undisclosed
McFall is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rainbow Warriors.
Elijah Williams · DL Questionable
Undisclosed
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Rainbow Warriors.
North Dakota State · 16 listed
Carter Appl · LB Out
Undisclosed
Appl is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bison. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Earl Brown · OL Out
Undisclosed
Brown is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bison. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Cash Danner · TE Out
Undisclosed
Danner is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bison. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Noah Nelson · TE Out
Undisclosed
Nelson is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bison. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Ben Schepp · LB Out
Undisclosed
Schepp is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bison. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Kye Schlichting · WR Out
Undisclosed
Schlichting is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bison. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Drake Schlosser · WR Out
Undisclosed
Schlosser is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bison. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Tucker Thieneman · OL Out
Undisclosed
Thieneman is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bison. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Braylon Toliver · RB Out
Undisclosed
Toliver is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bison. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Alijah Wayne · DT Out
Undisclosed
Wayne is dealing with an undisclosed injury and will not take the field for the Bison. He will miss the remainder of the 2026 season.
Ryan Babatz · OT Questionable
Undisclosed
Babatz is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bison.
Griffin Empey · G Questionable
Undisclosed
Empey is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bison.
Darius Givance · S Questionable
Undisclosed
Givance is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bison.
Truman Griffith · DE Questionable
Undisclosed
Griffith is battling an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bison.
Nyeoti Punni · RB Questionable
Undisclosed
Punni is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bison.
Kaden Zenzen · TE Questionable
Undisclosed
Zenzen is dealing with an undisclosed injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Bison.
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